Inverness CT vs Queen of the South Prediction

Inverness CT enters this fixture at the top of the League One table with 57 points from 30 games. The most critical statistic for this analysis is their unblemished record over the last 10 matches. Inverness has not lost in 10 games, securing 5 wins and 5 draws. This unbeaten run is the foundation of the recommendation.

Queen of the South sits in 4th place with 44 points. Their last 10 games show 3 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses. While they score heavily away from home (2.75 goals per game), their defensive record away is less stable, conceding 1.50 goals per game. Inverness, conversely, concedes only 0.80 goals per game at home. The goal expectancy data supports a high-scoring environment, but the primary focus for a certain outcome is the home win.

Head-to-head history heavily favors Inverness at home. In their last 4 meetings at Inverness, Inverness has won 3 matches and drawn 1, resulting in a 75% home win rate. The most recent encounter on 2026-01-31 ended in a 2-2 draw, but Inverness has maintained their unbeaten run since then. The odds for a home win are 1.48, implying a probability of approximately 67.5%. Given the 10-game unbeaten streak and the 75% H2H home win rate, the true probability of a home win is estimated at 68%, which meets the certainty threshold.

Queen of the South's tendency to concede away (1.50 per game) combined with Inverness's solid home defense (0.80 conceded per game) suggests Inverness is well-positioned to secure the three points. While the 2-2 draw indicates QoS can score, Inverness's 2.20 home goals per game gives them the offensive edge.

Key Points:

• Inverness CT is unbeaten in their last 10 matches (5 Wins, 5 Draws).

• Inverness holds a 75% win rate at home in head-to-head encounters against Queen of the South.

• Queen of the South concedes 1.50 goals per game away from home.

• Inverness concedes only 0.80 goals per game at home.

• Home win odds of 1.48 imply a 67.5% probability; our estimate is 68%.

The data supports a Home Win recommendation. Inverness CT vs Queen of the South: Home Win.