IR Reykjavik vs Throttur Reykjavik Prediction

IR Reykjavik vs Throttur Reykjavik Preview: Yoda's 1. Deild Tip

Preview

Do or do not bet, there is no try... but hedge your bets, you should. When the numbers speak, wisdom dictates we listen closely. In this clash between IR Reykjavik and Throttur Reykjavik, the statistical landscape reveals a fixture historically prone to goals, with clear advantages leaning toward the visitors.

Throttur Reykjavik currently sits in 3rd place with 23 points from 12 matches, while IR Reykjavik languishes in 9th with just 11 points. The form guide further emphasizes this divide. IR Reykjavik has won only 2 of their last 10 games, yielding a 20.00% win rate and 0.80 points per game. They have scored 1.50 goals per game while conceding 2.30, with a stark 0.00% clean sheet rate. Conversely, Throttur Reykjavik has secured 4 wins in their last 10 outings, averaging 1.80 goals scored and 1.40 conceded.

The head-to-head record paints an even more definitive picture. In 10 previous meetings, Throttur Reykjavik has claimed 7 victories, with IR Reykjavik managing just 3 wins and zero draws. The average goals per game in these fixtures stand at 3.70. More importantly for bettors, 9 of those 10 encounters have seen Over 2.5 Goals, and both teams scored in 8 of them. The most recent meeting on May 1st, 2026, ended in a 1-3 victory for Throttur, perfectly illustrating the scoring pattern.

Venue analysis supports this trajectory. IR Reykjavik’s home record shows a 33.33% win rate, but they concede an average of 1.67 goals at home. Throttur Reykjavik’s away form is notably potent, winning 50.00% of their last 4 away matches, scoring 2.25 goals per game, and conceding 1.75. The mathematical goal expectancy projects 1.79 goals for the home side and 1.96 for the visitors, culminating in a combined expected total of 3.75 goals. This high expectancy, paired with IR Reykjavik’s complete lack of defensive solidity, heavily favors a high-scoring contest.

The market prices Over 2.5 Goals at 1.44. While odds below 1.60 demand extreme caution, the confirmatory signals here are numerous and robust. Cross-referencing the 90% historical hit rate for this market in H2H, the 80% BTTS rate in IR Reykjavik’s recent fixtures, and the 3.75 goal expectancy, the probability of a multi-goal game is significantly higher than the implied market probability. The data provides multiple confirmatory signals pointing toward an open, attacking game.

Key Points:

  • Throttur Reykjavik sits 3rd (23 pts) while IR Reykjavik is 9th (11 pts)
  • H2H record heavily favors Throttur (7 wins in 10 matches)
  • 9 out of 10 H2H matches have seen Over 2.5 Goals
  • IR Reykjavik has a 0.00% clean sheet rate in their last 10 games
  • Combined goal expectancy is 3.75 goals (Home 1.79, Away 1.96)
  • Throttur averages 2.25 goals scored per away game

The numbers are clear, and the path forward is illuminated. With IR Reykjavik’s defense leaking goals and Throttur’s attack finding the net consistently away from home, the statistical edge strongly supports a high-scoring affair. My recommended bet is Over 2.5 Goals.

Match time
Recommended Bet
OVER 2 5
Odds
1.44
+EV
+12.3%
Estimated Chance78%
Stake & Profit
Stake:10.00Profit:0.00
Outcome
OPEN