Jong AZ vs FC Eindhoven Prediction

Right then, let's have a proper look at this bottom-of-the-table clash in the Dutch second tier. Both sides are struggling, but one looks in a right old mess while the other's showing signs of life.

Jong AZ come into this sitting 15th, but their recent form's been a bit of a mixed bag. They've had some proper hammerings - that 4-0 home defeat to ADO Den Haag was embarrassing, and getting battered 4-2 at Helmond Sport wasn't much better. But they've also shown they can turn it on, especially at home. That 4-0 thumping of Willem II was top drawer, and they followed it up with a decent 3-1 win at Almere City. They're averaging 2.25 goals per home game, which ain't bad at this level.

Now then, FC Eindhoven... where do I start? They're absolutely rock bottom of the form table, and I mean absolutely. Ten games, zero wins, two draws, eight defeats. That's relegation form, that is. They can't score away from home - just 0.6 goals per game on their travels - and they can't defend either, shipping 2.6 goals per away game. They've been hammered 4-0 by Vitesse, 5-0 by Almere City, and even lost 1-0 to Helmond Sport who aren't exactly world beaters.

The head-to-head might give Eindhoven fans a glimmer of hope - Jong AZ have never actually beaten them at home in four attempts. But form over history, every time. Eindhoven are in freefall and look completely shot of confidence.

Jong AZ have had a nice 10-day rest compared to Eindhoven's 5 days, which could be crucial given how many games these young lads play. They're also creating more chances at home, averaging 12 shots and 5.25 on target per home game.

Look, Eindhoven are in a right state. They haven't won in 10 games, can't score away, and can't defend anywhere. Jong AZ, while inconsistent, have shown they can put teams to the sword at home. With the odds offering decent value on the home win, this looks like a straightforward pick for me.