Jubilo Iwata vs Consadole Sapporo Prediction

Jubilo Iwata vs Consadole Sapporo: Both Teams Scoring in All Their Last Five

Preview

The Big O here, and I'm grinning ear to ear because this one smells like goals. Jubilo Iwata and Consadole Sapporo are about to meet at Iwata's ground on 10 October, and the numbers are singing a very clear tune.

Let's start with the most telling stat in this fixture: both teams have scored in every one of their last five matches. Jubilo Iwata have found the net in all five of their recent games, averaging 1.6 goals per game, while Consadole Sapporo have done the same, averaging 1.4 per game. That's ten consecutive goals from both sides across ten matches. When two teams are both putting the ball in the back of the net with such consistency, the both-teams-to-score market is practically begging to be backed.

Zoom out a bit and the picture gets even more comfortable. Over their last ten games, Consadole Sapporo have seen both teams score in 9 of 10 matches, and Jubilo Iwata in 6 of 10. Stretch the lens further to the 20-game home and away records, and the split is 10 of 20 for Jubilo at home and 11 of 20 for Consadole on the road. Neither side is keeping clean sheets at a high rate — Jubilo have conceded zero in just 6 of their 20 home games, and Consadole in 6 of their 20 away. This is not a defensive matchup.

Now, the honest counter-argument: the two most recent meetings between these sides, back in March and May, both finished 0–1. One team failed to score in each case. That's a small sample, but it does remind us that these two can go quiet. The older head-to-head record, stretching back to 2012, shows 15 of 29 meetings with both teams scoring, but the last two meetings were tight affairs. I'll give them credit for that, but two low-scoring meetings don't override ten straight goals from both sides.

Still, I'm not about to let two 0–1 results override the overwhelming recent evidence. Both teams are scoring freely, both are conceding freely — Jubilo averaging 1.6 conceded per game in their last five, Consadole 1.6 — and the 20-game venue records confirm that neither side is shutting games down. This is a match where the O in my name is about to get very loud.

Key Points:

  • Both Jubilo Iwata and Consadole Sapporo have scored in all of their last five matches
  • Consadole Sapporo's last ten games saw both teams score in 9 of 10
  • The two most recent head-to-head meetings both finished 0–1
  • Jubilo Iwata's home record over 20 games: 10 of 20 with both teams scoring
  • Consadole Sapporo's away record over 20 games: 11 of 20 with both teams scoring

My verdict: both teams to score, at 1.73.

Match time
Recommended Bet
BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE YES
Odds
1.73
+EV
+3.8%
Estimated Chance60%
Stake & Profit
Stake:10.00•Profit:0.00
Outcome
OPEN