Kataller Toyama vs Consadole Sapporo Prediction

Toyama's Home Horror Show vs Sapporo

Preview

Right then, let's have a proper look at this one. Kataller Toyama are having an absolute shocker at the bottom of the table, and frankly, their home form is about as useful as a chocolate teapot. They've managed a grand total of ZERO wins in their last four home games, scoring just 0.5 goals per game while shipping two at the other end. That's not just bad, that's relegation-form bad.

Consadole Sapporo, meanwhile, are sitting comfortably in mid-table and have actually been decent on their travels this season. They've won half of their last four away matches, scoring 1.5 goals per game on the road. Now, I'll give you this - their defense is leakier than a sieve, conceding 2.25 per game away from home. But when you're facing a Toyama side that's barely managing a shot on target, that might not matter too much.

The head-to-head tells the story too - Sapporo have won five of the seven meetings between these sides, including the last encounter 1-2. Toyama have never kept a clean sheet against them. Ever.

Looking at recent results, Toyama did nick a surprise 0-1 win away at Fujieda, but that's their only win in ten games. They've been getting hammered regularly - 1-3 at home to Tokushima, 0-1 to Roasso, 0-2 to Omiya. It's grim reading for the home fans.

Sapporo's form is mixed, but they've shown they can score goals away from home. They put two past Ventforet Kofu on the road and got one against Tokushima. Even in their recent losses, they're usually finding the net.

The maths here is pretty straightforward. Toyama are rock bottom, can't score at home, and have a terrible record against Sapporo. The visitors are much better on the road than Toyama are at home, and at 2.15, there's decent value in backing them to do the business.

Match time
Recommended Bet
AWAY WIN
Odds
2.15
+EV
+18.3%
Estimated Chance55%
Stake & Profit
Stake:-Profit:0.00
Outcome
OPEN