Konyaspor vs Kocaelispor Prediction

Home Comforts Should See Konyaspor Overcome Struggling Kocaelispor

Preview

Right then, let's have a proper look at this Turkish Super Lig clash. On paper, it looks like a tale of two teams heading in completely different directions.

Konyaspor are sitting pretty in 8th spot with 11 points from 7 games, and more importantly, they've been turning their home patch into a proper fortress. Four wins from their last five home games tells you all you need to know - they're banging in 2 goals per game at home and only letting in 1. They recently put Istanbul Basaksehir to the sword 2-1, and before that, they smashed Gazişehir Gaziantep 3-0. The lads are clearly comfortable in front of their own fans.

Now, flip over to Kocaelispor, and it's not a pretty picture. Rock bottom in 15th with just 5 points from 8 games, and their away form is absolutely shocking. Zero wins on the road this season, scoring a measly 0.4 goals per game away from home. They've been shipping 1.8 goals per away match too, which is never a good combination. Their recent trip to Besiktas ended in a 3-1 thumping, and before that, they couldn't even find the net against Gazişehir Gaziantep in a 2-0 loss.

The stats don't lie here. Konyaspor are averaging 12.57 shots per game with 42.3% accuracy, while Kocaelispor are only managing 9.50 shots with just 34.4% finding the target. When you're struggling to create chances and can't hit a barn door when you do, away days are always going to be tough.

Both teams are coming off similar rest periods (13-14 days), so no excuses there. The bookies have Konyaspor at 1.90 for the win, which looks pretty decent value when you consider the home form versus the away form disparity.

Key Points:

  • Konyaspor have won 80% of their last 5 home games
  • Kocaelispor have won 0% of their away games this season
  • Konyaspor score 2.0 goals per game at home vs Kocaelispor's 0.4 away
  • Konyaspor average 5.00 shots on target vs Kocaelispor's 3.12
  • Recent form: Konyaspor beat Istanbul Basaksehir 2-1, Kocaelispor lost 3-1 at Besiktas

Sometimes the simplest bet is the best one. You've got a team that's solid at home against one that can't buy a win on the road. The form guide points one way, and the stats back it up completely. Konyaspor should have too much quality and home advantage for a struggling Kocaelispor side.

Match time
Recommended Bet
HOME WIN
Odds
1.90
+EV
+23.5%
Estimated Chance65%
Stake & Profit
Stake:-Profit:0.00
Outcome
OPEN