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Right, folks, let's have a look at this one. Kryvbas KR are at home on 18 October hosting LNZ Cherkasy in the Premier League, and I've got to be honest with you: the numbers are not smiling at our little puppy here.
LNZ Cherkasy travel with a strong away record. Over 20 away games they've won 10, drawn 6 and lost 4, conceding just 0.65 goals per game and keeping 12 clean sheets. In their last five matches they've won twice and drawn twice, including a 2–1 home win over Kudrivka on 11 October and two 0–0 draws against Bukovyna and Dynamo Kyiv. Their latest 10 games show 3 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses, with only 0.7 goals scored per game. The only recent head-to-head meeting, on 5 April at Kryvbas KR's ground, ended 0–3 to LNZ Cherkasy. That's a tough pill to swallow for the hosts.
Now, I do love a dog with a bone, and Kryvbas KR do have a home record worth noting: 8 wins, 6 draws and 6 losses over 20 home games, scoring 1.95 per game. They've had both teams score in 14 of those 20 home fixtures. But their current form is grim. They've lost their last two matches, scoring zero and conceding four, and failed to score in three of their last five. The 2–0 cup win over Olimpiya Savyntsi on 8 September and the 2–2 draw at home against Kolos Kovalivka on 5 September are the only bright spots in that stretch. Their 0–3 loss to Shakhtar Donetsk on 2 October and 0–1 defeat to Polessya on 18 September show a side that is struggling to find a rhythm.
The best counter-argument for Kryvbas KR is that LNZ Cherkasy failed to score in 10 of their 20 away games, and their away BTTS record is just 4 yes out of 20. Those two 0–0 draws in their last five suggest they can be blunt on the road. Kryvbas KR's home scoring of 1.95 per game means they do find the net when they're at home, and the head-to-head history (mostly older meetings) shows Kryvbas KR have won at this ground before, including a 3–1 in October 2024. But I'll be upfront: those older meetings are historical, and the one recent meeting at this venue went 0–3 to the visitors.
Key Points:
- LNZ Cherkasy's away record: 10W 6D 4L, 0.65 conceded per game, 12/20 clean sheets
- Kryvbas KR lost their last two matches, scoring zero and conceding four
- The only recent H2H meeting at this ground ended 0–3 to LNZ Cherkasy
- LNZ Cherkasy failed to score in 10 of 20 away games
- Kryvbas KR's home record: 8W 6D 6L, 1.95 scored per game
I've turned this one over a few times, and I simply cannot find the value I need to back our little guy here. The football points firmly to LNZ Cherkasy, and as I never back the big dogs, I'm sitting this one out. No bet.