KVC Westerlo vs Anderlecht Prediction

Anderlecht to Sink Struggling Westerlo

Preview

Right then, let's have a proper look at this one. Westerlo are in a right old pickle at the moment, sitting down in 13th place and looking about as threatening as a wet paper bag in front of goal. They've managed just one win in their last ten games, and at home? Blimey, they're scoring a measly 0.6 goals per game on their own patch. That's not gonna cut it against the big boys.

Anderlecht, on the other hand, are flying high in third place and looking proper tasty. Six wins in their last ten games, and get this - only five goals conceded in that entire period. They're solid as a rock at the back, keeping clean sheets in 60% of their recent matches. They've just beaten the league leaders Union St. Gilloise 1-0, and before that saw off Club Brugge by the same scoreline. This is a team that knows how to get the job done.

Now, I know what you're thinking - Westerlo have actually got a decent home record against Anderlecht historically, winning two of the three meetings at their place. But form, my friends, is temporary and class is permanent. Right now, Westerlo's form is absolutely shocking, while Anderlecht are purring.

Looking at the recent results, Westerlo have drawn 0-0 with Gent, lost 0-1 to Genk at home, and could only manage a 2-2 draw with bottom-of-the-table Dender. They're just not creating enough chances, and when they do, they couldn't hit a cow's arse with a banjo.

Anderlecht might not be scoring for fun on their travels (1 goal per game away), but they don't need to be against this Westerlo side. Their defensive record is immense, and they've got the quality to nick a goal and shut up shop.

The odds of 2.10 for an Anderlecht win look about right to me. There's value there given the massive gulf in form and quality between these two sides. Westerlo are there for the taking, and Anderlecht are just the team to take them.

Match time
Recommended Bet
AWAY WIN
Odds
2.10
+EV
+15.5%
Estimated Chance55%
Stake & Profit
Stake:-Profit:0.00
Outcome
OPEN