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Lahti sit comfortably in their home record when this fixture is examined. Over 20 home games from November 2025 to September 2026, Lahti have won 11, drawn 6 and lost 3, scoring 1.9 goals per game and conceding 0.95. Their most recent home result was a 1–1 draw with FF Jaro on 18 September, and before that a 2–1 win over Mariehamn on 8 September. The head-to-head at Lahti's ground in the last 12 months tells a similar story: a 5–1 win over Turku PS in January and a 0–0 draw in June, with no home defeat in those two meetings.
The opposition's away record is the other half of the equation. Turku PS have won just 2 of their last 20 away games, drawing 7 and losing 11, scoring 0.85 per game and conceding 1.6. Their current run is three consecutive defeats, in which they have scored no goals and conceded five. In their last five matches overall, they have failed to score in four of them. The most recent of those was a 0–1 home loss to FF Jaro on 10 October, and before that a 0–3 home defeat to Ilves on 19 September.
The counter-argument is Lahti's own recent form. They lost 0–1 at SJK on 9 October, their most recent game, and have lost two of their last five matches. Their last five results are 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses, with a 1–1 draw at home and a 1–3 loss at Ilves in between. The head-to-head also includes a 0–0 at Lahti's ground in June, a reminder that this fixture can go quiet. Turku PS's away record does include 7 draws, meaning they are not without the ability to get a result on the road.
Key Points:
- Lahti have won 11 of 20 home games, scoring 1.9 per game and conceding 0.95
- Turku PS have won only 2 of 20 away games and are on a three-game losing run with no goals scored
- The head-to-head at Lahti's ground in the last 12 months: 1 win, 1 draw, 0 losses for Lahti
- Lahti lost their most recent game (0–1 at SJK) and have lost 2 of their last 5
- Turku PS failed to score in 4 of their last 5 matches
The evidence points strongly toward Lahti, but the margin is not large enough to call this a certainty. Lahti's own recent form has wobbled, and the head-to-head includes a scoreless draw. The football does not give me the level of confidence needed to recommend a price on this fixture. No Bet.
