Las Palmas vs Eibar Prediction

Right then, let's have a proper look at this Segunda División scrap between Las Palmas and Eibar. Both sides are knocking about the top half of the table, but there's a right old difference in how they're getting the job done.

Las Palmas are sitting pretty in 5th with 15 points, and they've been proper solid at home. They've only been letting in 0.6 goals per game - that's tighter than a Scotsman at closing time! They've kept four clean sheets in their last ten, and they've had some decent results too. They beat Cadiz (who're top of the league) 1-0, stuck one past Leganes away, and even hammered Cordoba 3-1 on their travels. Not bad going, is it?

Eibar, on the other hand, are struggling when they leave their own patch. They're 10th in the table with 12 points, but their away form is absolutely shocking - zero wins in their last four away games! They're only managing half a goal per game on their travels, which just ain't gonna cut it. They've lost to AD Ceuta and Cadiz away recently, and could only manage a goalless draw at home to Castellón in their last outing.

When these two have met before, it's been pretty even - nine games, Las Palmas have won three, Eibar four, with two draws. But Las Palmas have been proper poor at home against Eibar historically, only winning 25% of the time. Still, they did win the last meeting 1-0, so maybe things are turning.

Both teams are tight at the back, neither scores many goals, and the stats are screaming 'low-scoring affair'. Las Palmas average 0.9 goals per game, Eibar 1.0, but when you look at the home/away splits, Las Palmas are scoring 0.8 at home while Eibar are only managing 0.5 away from home. That's not exactly goal-fest material, is it?

The bookies have Las Palmas at 1.95 for the win, and given Eibar's travel sickness and Las Palmas' decent home form, that looks like a bit of value to me. Sometimes the simplest bet is the best bet, and this feels like one of those times.