Laval vs Estac Troyes Prediction

Right then, let's have a proper look at this Ligue 2 clash between Laval and the league leaders Estac Troyes. On paper, this looks like a right mismatch, but football's a funny old game, innit?

Laval are sitting in 16th place with just 12 points from 13 games, and blimey, their home form is shocking. They haven't won in their last 4 home matches and are scoring a measly 0.25 goals per game on their own patch. That's not just bad, that's relegation-bad territory. They did show some signs of life recently with a 2-0 win over Nancy and that 6-0 hammering of Le Cellier Mauves in the cup, but let's be honest - that was against lower opposition.

Now Estac Troyes, well they're a different kettle of fish entirely. Top of the table with 28 points, scoring for fun with 2.3 goals per game overall. Their away form might not be as dominant as at home, but they're still grabbing 1.8 goals per game on their travels and keeping things tight at the back with only 0.8 conceded.

The head-to-head record is interesting mind you - Laval actually have a decent home record against Troyes historically (4-0-1), and they won the last meeting 1-0. But form over history, every time. Laval's current home form is absolutely woeful, while Troyes are flying high.

Looking at the stats, Troyes are expected to score 1.65 goals compared to Laval's 0.53. That tells you everything you need to know about where this one's heading. The away win at 2.05 looks like decent value to me.

Key Points:

• Laval's home form is dreadful - 0% win rate in last 4 home games

• Estac Troyes top of Ligue 2 with 28 points from 14 games

• Troyes scoring 1.8 goals per game away from home

• Laval only managing 0.25 goals per game at home

• Goal expectancy: Troyes 1.65 vs Laval 0.53

The Verdict: This looks pretty straightforward to me. Troyes are in red-hot form, sitting pretty at the top of the table, while Laval can't buy a win at home. The league leaders should have too much quality here.