Preview
Mr CertaintyThe most compelling story in this Ligue 1 fixture is the scoring pattern. In their last five matches, Le Mans have seen both teams score in every single game — a 5-for-5 record stretching back to 5 September. Toulouse have been no different, with both sides finding the net in four of their last five outings. When you combine those two runs, nine of the last ten games involving either club have produced a both-teams-to-score result.
Toulouse's away record reinforces this. Over their last 20 away games, 15 of them have seen both teams score, and their recent fixtures have been no exception. The 2–2 draw at Monaco on 10 October, the 2–2 at Lorient on 12 September, and the 2–2 at Stade Brestois 29 on 29 August all featured goals from both sides. Le Mans at home have also been involved in open games recently: the 2–1 win over Lorient on 19 September and the 2–2 draw with Lens on 13 September both saw both teams find the net. Toulouse's last 10 games across all venues have produced both-teams-to-score results in 8 of 10, and Le Mans's last 10 have done the same in 8 of 10.
The counter-argument is Le Mans's longer home record. Across 20 home games dating back to 31 October 2025, 11 of those 20 have been both-teams-to-score no — meaning at least one side failed to score in more than half their home fixtures. That is a meaningful body of evidence suggesting Le Mans can keep a clean sheet or go scoreless at home. Additionally, Le Mans's recent form has been poor: they lost their last two matches (1–3 at Paris Saint Germain on 10 October and 1–2 at Guingamp on 2 October), and their last 10 games across all venues have yielded just 1 win, 5 draws and 4 losses at 0.8 points per game.
Toulouse, by contrast, have been more consistent. Their last 10 games have produced 3 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses, with 1.5 goals scored per game. They drew 2–2 at Monaco just six days before this kickoff. There is no head-to-head record between these two sides, so the matchup must be judged on current form and venue records alone.
Key Points:
- Le Mans have had both teams score in all 5 of their last 5 matches; Toulouse in 4 of 5
- Toulouse's away record: 15 of 20 games have seen both teams score
- Le Mans lost their last 2 matches (1–3 at Paris Saint Germain, 1–2 at Guingamp)
- Le Mans home record: 11 of 20 games were both-teams-to-score no, a notable counter-trend
- No head-to-head meetings on record between the two clubs
My pick is both teams to score.