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Lecco have made this fixture their own. In the four recorded meetings between these two sides, Lecco have won three and drawn one, and they have not conceded a single goal across all four. The two most recent meetings, both within the last 12 months, went to Lecco: a 1–0 home win on 8 December 2025 and a 2–0 away win at Alcione's ground on 10 April 2026. The older two meetings — a 0–0 draw at Alcione's ground in March 2025 and a 1–0 Lecco win at this ground in October 2024 — are historical record and dilute the picture, but the pattern is consistent: Lecco keep it tight and find the one goal that matters.
The home record reinforces that. Over 20 home games, Lecco have recorded 6 wins, 10 draws and 4 losses, averaging 1.4 points per game. They have kept 11 clean sheets in those 20 matches and conceded just 0.9 goals per game. By contrast, Alcione's away record over 20 games is 4 wins, 7 draws and 9 losses at 0.95 points per game, with 1.25 goals conceded per game and only 5 clean sheets. The gap in defensive solidity at this end of the ground is clear.
Alcione's recent form tells a worrying story on the defensive side. In their last five matches they have kept zero clean sheets and conceded 2.2 goals per game. The 0–4 defeat to Union Brescia on 20 September at their own ground was the most visible example, but the 2–2 draws with Trento on 4 October and PRO Vercelli on 17 September also showed them leaking goals. Their last two games have been draws, and they have scored in four of those five, which keeps the match open and makes a shut-out less likely than the head-to-head might suggest.
The counter-argument is that Lecco's home record is heavily draw-weighted — 10 of their 20 home games have ended level — and their last five matches include two draws and a 0–3 loss to Cittadella on 26 September. Alcione, despite the defensive frailty, have scored 1.4 goals per game over their last ten and have kept only one clean sheet in that span, meaning they are not a team that shuts up shop. The 4–0 loss to Union Brescia could be an outlier rather than a pattern, and Lecco's 0–0 draw with Pergolettese on 20 September at this ground shows they are not always the team that breaks the deadlock.
Key Points:
- Lecco have won 3 of 4 meetings against Alcione, conceding zero goals in all four
- Lecco's home record: 6W 10D 4L, 11 clean sheets in 20 games, 0.9 conceded per game
- Alcione's away record: 4W 7D 9L, 1.25 conceded per game, 5 clean sheets in 20 games
- Alcione have kept 0 clean sheets in their last 5 matches, conceding 2.2 per game
- Lecco's home record is draw-heavy (10 of 20), and their last 5 includes 2 draws and a 0–3 loss
The evidence points firmly to Lecco as the stronger side at this ground, but the draw-heavy home record, the small head-to-head sample, and Alcione's recent scoring form mean I cannot call this a certainty. When it is not certain, it is not happening. No bet.