Preview
PajimonRight, so we've got Leganes taking on Cordoba on 16 October in the Segunda División, and this one's got me scratching my head a bit – in the best way, like trying to figure out what cut of meat to put on the coals before the beer kicks in.
The strongest case here is on the home side. Leganes' record at their ground over 20 games is 10 wins, 5 draws and 5 losses, with 1.75 points per game and just 0.9 goals conceded per game. Nine of those 20 home games ended with a clean sheet. In 13 of those 20 home fixtures, at least one team failed to score. And if you look at their last five matches, Leganes have failed to score in four of them – blanked 0–3 at Almeria on 11 October, 0–4 at Cadiz on 3 October, and 0–2 at home to Castellón on 28 September. Their only win in that stretch was a 3–2 against Granada CF on 20 September. The current run is three straight losses with zero goals scored and nine conceded. That's a team that's struggling to find the back of the net, and at home, the numbers say they keep games tight.
Now the counter-argument, and it's a big one. Cordoba's away record over 20 games is 8 wins, 2 draws and 10 losses, but here's the thing: in 17 of those 20 away games, both teams scored. Their last five matches saw both teams find the net in four of them, and they've scored in four of those five. Over 20 away games they average 1.6 goals scored and 1.95 conceded. In 17 of 20, the total went over 2.5. So Cordoba's away games are open, goal-filled affairs. The bookmakers are pricing both teams to score at 1.62, which implies about 62% chance. That's a strong signal pulling the other way.
The head-to-head is thin – just two meetings in the last 12 months. At Leganes's ground in December 2025, it was a 0–0 draw. At Cordoba's ground in February 2026, Cordoba won 2–1. So at this venue, the last meeting was a scoreless draw, which fits the tight pattern.
The matchup table tells the story: Leganes at home concede 0.9 per game and keep 9 clean sheets in 20; Cordoba away concede 1.95 per game and keep zero clean sheets in 20. Leganes at home see under 2.5 in 12 of 20 games; Cordoba away see over 2.5 in 17 of 20. These are two very different profiles meeting on the same pitch.
Key Points:
- Leganes have failed to score in 4 of their last 5 matches and lost their last 3, conceding 9 goals
- Leganes' home record over 20 games: 10W 5D 5L, 9 clean sheets, 13/20 BTTS no
- Cordoba's away record over 20 games: 17/20 BTTS yes, 17/20 over 2.5, 0 clean sheets
- The only meeting at Leganes's ground in the last 12 months was a 0–0 draw
- Leganes' home defence (0.9 conceded per game) is far tighter than Cordoba's away defence (1.95 conceded per game)
My take: the numbers at Leganes's ground say this is a tight, low-scoring affair, and the home side's recent scoring drought makes it very likely at least one team goes blank. Cordoba's away record pulls the other way, but the most recent evidence – Leganes scoring zero in their last three – is hard to ignore. I'm going with both teams not to score.