Preview
Umery UnderdogRight, folks, let's talk about Leganes. The home side have been quiet — really quiet. In their last three matches they haven't put a single ball in the net: a 0–3 loss at Almeria on 11 October, a 0–4 defeat at Cadiz on 3 October, and a 0–2 home loss to Castellón on 28 September. Nine goals conceded, zero scored. Stretch the lens a little and the pattern holds: Leganes failed to score in 4 of their last 5 games and in 6 of their last 10. At home, over 20 fixtures, 7 of those 20 ended with Leganes on the losing side of the scoring tally, and 13 of the 20 were BTTS no. The most recent meeting between these two sides at Leganes's ground, on 7 December 2025, finished 0–0. That little puppy has been silent for a while now.
Cordoba, on the other hand, are a different story on the road. Across 20 away games they failed to score in just 3, and 17 of those 20 saw both teams find the net. They scored in 4 of their last 5 matches, including a 2–1 win at Albacete on 18 September and a 3–2 home win over Tenerife on 5 October. So the picture is this: Cordoba will very likely score — their away record and recent form both say so. But Leganes? The last three games say no. Four of the last five say no. Six of the last ten say no. The home record says no more often than yes. When one side is so consistently scoreless, the 'both teams to score' market tilts the other way, and the underdog side — both teams not to score — starts to look like the value pick. I'm always here for the little guy, and in this fixture the little guy is the blank sheet.
The counter-argument is fair. Cordoba's away record is 17 out of 20 for BTTS yes, meaning they score in the vast majority of their away fixtures. Their 7 losses in 10 recent games and 0 clean sheets in 20 away games keep this an open, messy game. And the 20-game home record does show Leganes scoring in 13 of 20 home games, so the scoreless run, while striking, is not the whole story. The 0–0 in December is one data point, not a pattern. Still, the weight of recent evidence — three consecutive scoreless games, four of five, six of ten — is hard to ignore, and the market's 41.32% implied probability for BTTS no at 2.42 feels a touch low when you look at what Leganes have been doing over the last month.
Key Points:
- Leganes scored zero in their last three matches and failed to score in 4 of 5 and 6 of 10 recent games
- Leganes' home record: 13 of 20 were BTTS no; the H2H at this ground on 7 December 2025 was 0–0
- Cordoba's away record: 17 of 20 were BTTS yes, so they will likely find the net
- The market prices BTTS no at 2.42 (41.32% implied), but Leganes' recent scoreless run points to a higher true probability
- Cordoba's 7 losses in 10 and 0 clean sheets in 20 away games keep this an open, unpredictable game
My pick: both teams not to score.