Lens vs Lorient Prediction

Right then, let's have a proper look at this one. Lens are sitting pretty in 6th place with 19 points, while Lorient are down in 16th with just 9 points - that's a proper gap between these two sides.

Lens have been solid at home this season, winning 80% of their last 5 home games. They're banging in 2 goals per game on their own patch and only letting in 0.8. They've had some decent results too, beating Marseille 2-1 and Lille 3-0. Mind you, they did just lose 2-0 to Metz, but that was on the road.

Now Lorient... blimey, their away form is shocking stuff. 0% win rate in their last 5 away games! They're only scoring 0.2 goals per game away - that's basically one goal every five matches! And they're letting in 2.0 per game on their travels. They did manage a 1-1 draw with PSG recently, which was decent, but then lost 2-0 to Angers and 2-0 to Paris FC.

When these two have met before, Lens have had the edge - 5 wins, 3 draws, 1 loss overall. At home against Lorient, Lens are unbeaten with 3 wins and 1 draw.

The stats don't lie here - Lens are strong at home, Lorient are terrible away, and the head-to-head backs it up. Sometimes the best bets are the obvious ones, and this looks like one of those occasions.

Key Points:

• Lens are 6th with 19 points, Lorient are 16th with 9 points

• Lens have 80% home win rate, Lorient have 0% away win rate

• Lens score 2.0 goals per game at home, Lorient score just 0.2 away

• Lens are unbeaten at home vs Lorient (3W-1D-0L)

• Lorient concede 2.0 goals per game away from home

This one looks straightforward - Lens should have too much quality for a Lorient side that can't buy a goal on the road.