Lincoln vs Burton Albion Prediction

Deeply, we must look. The force is strong with Lincoln, second in the league they are. Forty-nine points from twenty-six games, a powerful position. In their last ten matches, six wins, three draws, only one loss. Score twenty goals they did, concede twelve. A 5-2 victory over Peterborough, a 2-1 triumph against league leaders Cardiff, and a 2-0 away win at Barnsley. Strong, they are.

Yet, Burton Albion, danger they bring. Nineteenth in the table, but in their last ten, four wins, three draws, three losses. Score eighteen goals they did, concede twelve. A 3-1 win over Huddersfield and a 5-0 FA Cup rout they have. But away, vulnerable they are. Concede 1.60 goals per game on the road, they do. At Plymouth, lost 3-0. At Reading, lost 2-0.

The history, a curious puzzle it presents. At Lincoln's home ground, Burton Albion have won all four meetings. A zero percent home win rate for Lincoln, this is. Yet, the last meeting in September, a 1-0 victory for Lincoln it was. The past, clouded it is. The present, clearer.

Lincoln's recent opponents, strong they were. Cardiff, Huddersfield, Luton, Stockport. Against them, Lincoln performed well. Burton's recent away trips, defeats they brought. The stats whisper: Lincoln averages 2.00 goals at home. Burton averages 2.00 goals away. But Burton's defense on the road, leaky it is.

In the numbers, truth we find. Lincoln's shot accuracy is 35.0%, Burton's is 43.1%. More shots on target Burton averages, 5.11 to 4.60. But possession, similar it is. The goal expectancy, high it points: 1.80 for Lincoln, 1.58 for Burton. A game of many goals, this could be.

Seven of Lincoln's last ten matches saw over 2.5 goals. Five of Burton's last ten did the same. The trend for goals, improving for both teams it is. Yet, consistency for Burton, low it is. A volatile team, they are.

Key Points:

• Lincoln are 2nd in League One with excellent recent form (6W, 3D, 1L in last 10).

• Burton Albion are 19th but have won 4 of their last 10, scoring 18 goals.

• Historically, Burton have won all 4 visits to Lincoln's ground, but Lincoln won the last H2H meeting 1-0.

• Lincoln average 2.00 goals scored per home game; Burton average 2.00 goals scored per away game but concede 1.60.

• Seven of Lincoln's last ten matches featured over 2.5 goals.

Summary: Strong, Lincoln are. But Burton, goals they can score. A high-scoring affair, likely this is. The value, in the over 2.5 goals market it lies.