Lincoln vs Stevenage Prediction

Right then, let's have a proper look at this cracker! We've got 6th-placed Lincoln hosting the league leaders Stevenage in what should be a proper belter of a match. Both sides are absolutely flying at the moment, sitting pretty in the top half of League One.

Lincoln have been decent at home lately, averaging 1.86 goals per game on their own patch. They've been banging them in for fun recently - putting three past both Peterborough and Luton, and even smashing Manchester United's kids 3-0 in the EFL Trophy. They did have a bit of a blip losing 0-1 to Exeter at home, but every team has an off day, don't they? Their defensive record is tidy too - only letting in 0.7 goals per game and keeping 5 clean sheets in their last 10.

Stevenage, well, they're the business this season. Sitting top of the league with 25 points from 10 games is some going, mate. They've only lost once all season! They're solid as a rock at the back, conceding just 0.6 goals per game, and they've gone four league games unbeaten. They did have a bit of a frustrating 0-0 draw at Peterborough in their last match, but before that they were beating Luton 2-0 at home.

Here's the interesting bit though - Lincoln have Stevenage's number historically. Out of 8 meetings, Lincoln have won 4, drawn 3, and only lost once. And get this - Lincoln have actually won 3 out of 4 away games against Stevenage! The last meeting was 0-0 back in January, but before that Lincoln were beating them regularly.

Both teams are scoring for fun this season. Lincoln are averaging 1.8 goals per game, while Stevenage are hitting 1.5. Neither side is completely solid at the back either, which could make for an open game. Lincoln are averaging 1.86 goals at home but conceding 1.00, while Stevenage are scoring 1.60 on the road but letting in 0.80.

One thing that might give Lincoln the edge is fatigue. Stevenage have had 7 days rest and played 3 matches in that time, while Lincoln have had 14 days off and only played once. That could be crucial in the last 20 minutes if it's tight.

The bookies have Lincoln as slight favorites at 2.40, which seems about right to me. They're at home, have the historical edge, and Stevenage might be a bit leggy. The goal expectancy suggests about 2.6 goals in total, so we could be in for a few.

Both teams are in cracking form, both can score goals, and neither is completely solid at the back. This has all the makings of a proper classic League One encounter!