Liverpool vs Everton Prediction

Alright, mates? Grab a pint and let's talk proper football. The Merseyside Derby's rolling into Anfield this weekend, and it's Liverpool sitting pretty at the top of the table with four straight wins. David Moyes' lot haven't put a foot wrong, especially at home where they're banging in 2.6 goals a game. But derbies? They're a different beast.

Everton under Arne Slot are no mugs on the road – three wins in their last five away, including that 3-2 thriller at Wolves. But here's the rub: their wins came against sides in the bottom half. When they've faced tougher opposition like Chelsea or Leeds, they've come up short. At Anfield, history's not on their side either. The Toffees haven't won here since 2024, and in the last five derbies at this ground, Liverpool've won four.

Now, let's talk goals. Liverpool's home games have seen fireworks lately (4-2 vs Bournemouth, 1-0 vs Arsenal), but derbies tend to be cagey. Remember last April? 1-0 to the Reds. In fact, both teams scored in just two of the last nine clashes. Everton's away defence deserves respect too – only conceding one goal per game on their travels. With the Blues managing just 1.4 goals per away match, and Liverpool keeping three clean sheets in their last ten overall, this has 'one team blanks' written all over it.

Key Points:

• Liverpool won 4/4 league games this season

• Everton lost away to Leeds and Chelsea this campaign

• Both teams scored in only 22% of last 9 H2H meetings

• Liverpool: 1.2 goals conceded per home game

• Everton: 1.0 goals conceded per away game

So, what's the play? The bookies have Liverpool at skinny 1.45 odds – no value there. But at 1.95, 'Both Teams to Score - NO' jumps out. With derby tension, Everton's solid road defending, and history saying someone's getting shut out, that's where the smart money goes.