Liverpool vs Nottingham Forest Prediction

Liverpool vs Forest: Low-Scoring Affair on the Cards?

Preview

Alright boet, let's break down this clash between two teams who've been more up and down than a braai at a wind farm! Liverpool sitting 8th with 18 points have been proper inconsistent this season - no draws in 11 games tells you everything you need to know. They either win or lose, no in-between!

Recent form has been shocking for the Reds though - 3 wins and 7 losses in their last 10 games. They've had some proper stinkers like that 3-0 hammering by Man City, but also showed they can still turn it on with that 5-1 thrashing of Frankfurt in Europe. At home, they're a bit better with 2 wins from their last 4 at Anfield.

Now Forest... ag man, they're struggling big time. 19th in the table with only 9 points, and their away form is worse than a warm beer - 0 wins in their last 4 away trips! They can't score on the road either, averaging just 0.5 goals per game away from home. That 3-1 win over Leeds was decent, but getting hammered 3-0 by Chelsea and 2-0 by Bournemouth shows they're still vulnerable.

Head-to-head, Liverpool has the edge with 4 wins from 7 meetings, and at home they've won 2 out of 3 against Forest. The last meeting was a 1-1 draw though.

Looking at the stats, both teams are conceding plenty - Liverpool letting in 1.7 per game, Forest 1.6. But Forest's away attack is basically non-existent. Liverpool's defense isn't great, but they should be able to handle a Forest side that struggles to score away from home.

The goal expectancy numbers (1.25 for Liverpool, 0.88 for Forest) suggest we're not in for a goal fest. With Forest's away scoring record and both teams' recent defensive issues, this has all the makings of a tight, low-scoring affair.

Match time
Recommended Bet
UNDER 2 5
Odds
2.38
+EV
+54.7%
Estimated Chance65%
Stake & Profit
Stake:-Profit:0.00
Outcome
OPEN