Livingston vs Motherwell Prediction

Right then, let's have a proper look at this basement battle down at the bottom of the Scottish Premiership. Both these sides are struggling for wins, but someone's got to nick three points here, ain't they?

Livingston are rock bottom of the table with just 6 points from 9 games, and looking at their recent form, you can see why. They've only managed one win in their last 10 matches - that was way back in August when they beat Falkirk 3-1. Since then it's been proper grim stuff, including getting stuffed 4-0 by Hibs in their last outing. They're shipping goals for fun too - 20 conceded in 10 games works out at 2 per game. Their home form ain't much better either, winning just 25% of their home matches.

Motherwell are sitting just above them in 10th with 8 points, and they're the draw specialists of the league - 6 draws in 10 games tells you that story. They're hard to beat but struggle to turn draws into wins. Lost their last two though, 1-2 to Falkirk and 2-3 to Celtic, so they're not exactly flying either. But defensively they're much tighter - only 12 goals conceded in 10 games and keeping 40% clean sheets.

When these two have met before, it's been all Motherwell. They've won 6 of the 9 meetings, with Livingston only managing one win. Even at home, Livingston have only beaten Motherwell once in four attempts.

The stats paint a clear picture - Motherwell control games better (57.8% possession vs 46%), they're tighter at the back, and they've got the edge in head-to-heads. Livingston are leaky as a sieve and can't buy a win at the moment.

Key Points:

• Livingston rock bottom with just 1 win in 10 games

• Motherwell are draw specialists (6 draws in 10) but much tighter defensively

• Head-to-head heavily favors Motherwell (6 wins to 1)

• Livingston shipping 2 goals per game on average

• Motherwell keep 40% clean sheets compared to Livingston's 10%

Given all that, Motherwell look the value here. They're more solid, have the better recent form overall, and dominate this fixture historically. Livingston are struggling badly and their defence is all over the shop.