Livingston vs ST Mirren Prediction

Alright, gather round. We've got a proper six-pointer down at the bottom of the Scottish Premiership this Tuesday night. Livingston, rock bottom with just one win all season, host St Mirren, who are sitting just above them but hardly pulling up trees themselves. If you're looking for a tactical masterclass, you might want to look elsewhere. But if you fancy a bit of a scrap where both teams have a right good go? You're in the right place.

Let's cut to the chase. Livingston are having a nightmare. No wins in their last ten, picking up just three points from a possible thirty. But here's the thing – they've drawn their last two, including a 1-1 draw with this very St Mirren side in the cup just a few days ago. At home, they're not winning, but they're not getting rolled over either. They've drawn half of their last six at home, and crucially, they've scored in four of their last five in front of their own fans. The problem is they can't keep the ball out of their own net, shipping an average of two goals a game at home.

St Mirren aren't exactly flying either. They've lost their last three league games without scoring a single goal. That's right, 0-2, 0-2, 0-2 against Hearts, Falkirk, and Motherwell. But here's the kicker – on the road, they're also conceding an average of two goals per game. So they're struggling to score but also leaking goals when they travel.

Now, the history between these two is interesting. Livingston haven't lost at home to St Mirren in the head-to-head stats, with one win and three draws. But most of those games were tight, low-scoring affairs. The recent form book, however, screams something different. Livingston's home games are bonkers – four of their last six have seen over 2.5 goals, and both teams have scored in a whopping five of those six. St Mirren's away days have seen both teams score in three of their last five.

So what's the play? The maths says both these sides are likely to find the net. Livingston score at home (1.17 per game), St Mirren concede away (2.00 per game). St Mirren might be on a goal drought, but they're facing the league's leakiest defence at home. Meanwhile, Livingston's defence is about as solid as a paper bag in a hurricane. The bookies have Both Teams to Score at a dead-even 1.91. Given the stats, that looks like a bit of value to me.

Key Points:

Livingston are winless in 10 but have drawn their last two, including a 1-1 draw with St Mirren in the cup.

At home, Livingston score (1.17 per game) but concede heavily (2.00 per game).

St Mirren have lost their last three league games 0-2, 0-2, 0-2 but concede 2.00 per game on the road.

Both Teams Have Scored in 5 of Livingston's last 6 home matches.

• Head-to-head history favours low scores, but current defensive form suggests otherwise.

The Simple Tip: This has the feel of a proper, messy relegation battle. Neither side can afford to sit back, and both defences have been charitable all season long. I can see both teams having chances and both teams scoring. At odds of 1.91, Both Teams to Score - Yes is the call.