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The strongest case in this fixture points to Livorno at home. Their record at their own ground over the last 20 home games is 12 wins, 4 draws and 4 losses, averaging 2 points per game and scoring 1.8 goals per match. In their last five matches, Livorno have won two, drawn two and lost one, scoring 8 and conceding 7. The two home victories in that stretch — 3–2 over Pianese on 26 September and 3–2 over Vado on 16 September — show they can produce goals at home, though the 0–1 defeat to Pescara on 3 October is a reminder that their defence is not impenetrable. Their most recent outing, a 1–1 draw away at Forli on 11 October, leaves them without a win in their last two matches.
Grosseto, however, arrive in noticeably better recent form. Their last five matches yield 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss, with 12 goals scored and 7 conceded. The 3–2 away win at Vis Pesaro on 10 October and the 4–0 away demolition of Pineto on 26 September underline their attacking output on the road. Over 20 away games, Grosseto have won 15, drawn 2 and lost 3, averaging 2.35 points per game and conceding just 0.55 per match. They have kept 12 clean sheets in those 20 away fixtures and failed to score in only 3. Their only recent blemish is the 1–3 home loss to Sambenedettese on 3 October.
The head-to-head is entirely historical. The most recent meeting was a 0–0 draw at Grosseto's ground in January 2025, and all five listed meetings date back at least 20 months. There is no current-form head-to-head to lean on, so the venue records and recent results carry the weight of this preview.
The counter-argument favours Grosseto. Their away record (15W 2D 3L, 2.35 points per game) outperforms Livorno's home record (12W 4D 4L, 2 points per game) on both wins and points per game. Their recent form is also superior: 3 wins in 5 versus Livorno's 2, and they have scored in all five of their last matches while Livorno went scoreless in one. Grosseto's defensive record away — 0.55 conceded per game and 12 clean sheets in 20 — is the standout figure in this fixture.
Key Points:
- Livorno's home record: 12W 4D 4L in 20 games, 1.8 goals scored per game, 1.2 conceded per game
- Grosseto's away record: 15W 2D 3L in 20 games, 0.55 goals conceded per game, 12 clean sheets
- Recent form: Grosseto 3W 1D 1L (2 ppg) vs Livorno 2W 2D 1L (1.6 ppg)
- Head-to-head is entirely historical; no meetings within 12 months of kickoff
- Both teams' venue records are strong, leaving no dominant edge for either side
No Bet.