Luton vs Bolton Prediction

Right then, let's talk about this proper League One showdown! Luton and Bolton are neck and neck in the table, just one point separating them in 6th and 7th. This is exactly the kind of game that could decide who's mixing it with the big boys come May.

Bolton have been the business lately, haven't they? Seven wins from their last ten games and 2.20 points per game - that's promotion form, that is. They've been banging them in for fun too - 20 goals in 10 games, including that six-goal thriller at Oldham and a four-nil hammering of Port Vale. But here's the rub - away from home, they're a bit leaky at the back, letting in two per game on their travels.

Luton, well, they're a bit of a mixed bag recently. They looked brilliant beating Huddersfield 2-1 at home, then went and got absolutely stuffed 5-0 at Barnsley four days later. Talk about not knowing which Luton side will turn up! At home though, they're scoring 1.8 goals per game, which ain't half bad.

The stats make for interesting reading. Bolton are much more gung-ho with the shots - nearly 18 per game compared to Luton's 11. But when it comes to both teams finding the net, the numbers suggest we're in for a treat. Both sides have been scoring and conceding regularly, and with Bolton's away defensive record being what it is, you'd fancy Luton to get on the scoresheet.

Fatigue might play a part too - Luton have had less time to recover and have played three games in the last fortnight while Bolton have only had the one. Could be telling come the final whistle.

Key Points:

• Bolton in better recent form (2.20 vs 1.60 points per game)

• Both teams scoring regularly - Bolton 2.0 goals scored/game, Luton 1.4

• Bolton leaky away from home (2.0 goals conceded/game)

• Luton strong at home scoring 1.8 goals/game

• Head-to-head virtually non-existent with only 2 previous meetings

Looking at the odds and the form, I'm fancying both teams to get on the scoresheet here. Both sides have shown they can score, and both have shown they can concede. At 1.75, that looks like decent value for what should be an entertaining tussle between two sides who both fancy their chances of a promotion push.