Metaloglobus vs Farul Constanta Prediction

Bottom Boys vs Mid-Table Maestros

Preview

Right then, let's have a proper look at this Sunday afternoon scrap in Romania's top flight. Metaloglobus, propping up the entire league like a dodgy table leg, welcome Farul Constanta to their patch. And blimey, what a mismatch this looks on paper.

The home side are having an absolute shocker this season. Rock bottom of Liga I with just 8 points from 18 games - that's proper relegation form, that is. They've managed one measly win all season, and looking at their recent results, it's not hard to see why. They've been shipping goals for fun lately - 4-1 stuffing by Petrolul, 3-1 pasting by Cluj, and a 2-0 loss to Uta Arad. Their only bright spot was that surprise 2-1 win over FCSB back in October, but that's been about as rare as a sunny day in London.

Farul, on the other hand, are ticking along nicely in 6th place. They've been solid as a rock at the back lately, keeping clean sheets in half their last 10 games. They've had some decent results too - putting two past Botosani, three past Csikszereda, and even snatching a point against Otelul in a 2-2 thriller. They're not world-beaters, but they know how to get the job done.

Now here's the funny thing - historically, Metaloglobus have actually got Farul's number at home. Won all three previous meetings on their own patch. But that was then, this is now. And right now, Metaloglobus couldn't hit a barn door with a banjo.

Looking at the stats, Metaloglobus are averaging less than a goal per game at home (0.83 to be precise), while letting in just over one. Farul away from home are netting 1.5 per game but also conceding the same amount. It's got 'both teams to score' written all over it, isn't it?

The odds boys have got Farul as clear favorites at 1.65, which makes sense given the league positions. But I'm not touching that - too short for my liking. The both teams to score market at 1.83 though? That's got my interest piqued. Metaloglobus are leaky as a sieve but do occasionally find the net in front of their own fans. Farul score plenty on their travels but aren't exactly Fort Knox at the back either.

Key Points:

• Metaloglobus are dead last in Liga I with just 8 points

• Farul sit comfortably in 6th with 26 points

• Metaloglobus have lost 6 of their last 10 games

• Farul have kept 5 clean sheets in their last 10 matches

• Despite Metaloglobus's poor form, both teams score in 50% of their recent games

• Farul average 1.5 goals scored and 1.5 conceded away from home

The Verdict: I'm backing both teams to find the net here. Metaloglobus are desperate and will likely throw everything forward at home, while Farul have enough quality to punish any defensive lapses. At 1.83, it feels like decent value for what should be an open affair.

Match time
Recommended Bet
BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE YES
Odds
1.83
+EV
+9.8%
Estimated Chance60%
Stake & Profit
Stake:-Profit:0.00
Outcome
OPEN