Middlesbrough vs Wrexham Prediction

Boro's Home Fortress vs Wrexham's Road Warriors

Preview

Right then, let's have a proper look at this one. Middlesbrough are sitting pretty in 2nd place, and you can see why - they've been solid as a rock at home, winning 75% of their games at their own gaff. Only letting in half a goal per game on their own patch is proper decent, like.

But here's the thing that's got my attention - Wrexham. Yeah, they're 19th in the table, but get this: they've won 60% of their away games! That's not just good, that's brilliant for a team down the bottom. They're scoring 1.8 goals per game on their travels too, which ain't bad at all.

Recent form's been a bit mixed for both sides. Boro beat Ipswich 2-1 but then got done 1-0 by Portsmouth. Wrexham lost 1-0 to Stoke but had draws against Birmingham and Leicester. Both teams seem to be scoring and conceding in roughly equal measure lately.

The stats show both teams tend to find the net - Boro in 60% of their home games, Wrexham in 80% of their away games. With goal expectancy sitting at 1.23 for Boro and 1.15 for Wrexham, we're looking at a tight one where both could get on the scoresheet.

Key Points:

  • Middlesbrough's home record is quality (75% win rate)
  • Wrexham's away form is surprisingly strong (60% win rate)
  • Both teams score in majority of their recent games
  • Goal expectancy is very close between the sides
  • Both teams showing slight decline in recent form

Given how Wrexham travel and how both teams have been finding the net lately, I'm fancying both teams to score here. Boro's defense is tight at home, but Wrexham's away attack could cause problems, and I can see both sides getting a goal in what should be a decent scrap.

Match time
Recommended Bet
BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE YES
Odds
1.80
+EV
+4.4%
Estimated Chance58%
Stake & Profit
Stake:-Profit:0.00
Outcome
OPEN