Montedio Yamagata vs Fujieda MYFC Prediction
Yamagata's Home Fortress vs Fujieda's Travel Woes
Preview
Right then, let's have a proper look at this J2 League clash between Montedio Yamagata and Fujieda MYFC. The home side are sitting pretty in 11th with 50 points, while Fujieda are languishing down in 15th with just 39 points.
Now, here's where it gets interesting. Montedio have been absolutely bossing it at home recently - winning 67% of their last six home games and banging in 2.17 goals per game on their own patch. Their recent form is top-notch too, picking up 2.10 points per game over their last 10 matches. They've been mixing it with the big boys as well, drawing 2-2 with Jubilo Iwata and Omiya Ardija, while beating Imabari and Oita Trinita.
Fujieda, on the other hand, are having a right mare away from home. They haven't won a single away game in their last five attempts, managing just 0.6 goals per game on their travels. Their overall form is shocking too - just one win in their last 10 games, and that was against Jubilo Iwata back in September. They even lost 0-1 to bottom-dwellers Kataller Toyama recently, which tells you all you need to know about their confidence levels.
The head-to-head record favours Montedio with 4 wins out of 6, and both teams have scored in 4 of those 6 meetings. Given that Montedio have seen both teams score in 90% of their recent games, and Fujieda in 60%, we could be in for some goals.
Montedio are scoring for fun at home (2.17 per game) but also conceding a few (1.17), while Fujieda are struggling to score away but still managing to find the net occasionally. This screams 'both teams score' to me, especially at the price on offer.
Key Points:
- Montedio in excellent home form: 67% win rate, 2.17 goals per game
- Fujieda terrible away: 0% win rate, only 0.6 goals per game
- Both teams have scored in 90% of Montedio's recent games
- Head-to-head shows both teams score in 4/6 meetings
- Montedio's recent form: 6W, 3D, 1L in last 10
- Fujieda's recent form: 1W, 4D, 5L in last 10
The stats are pointing towards goals, and with both teams having decent BTTS records recently, I'm backing both teams to score. Montedio should win this comfortably, but Fujieda might just nick one given Montedio's tendency to concede at home.