Motherwell vs Livingston Prediction

Right then, let's have a proper look at this Scottish Premiership clash between Motherwell and Livingston. The gulf between these two sides is absolutely massive right now, and I'm not just talking about their positions in the table.

Motherwell are sitting pretty in 3rd place with 22 points, and they've been playing some decent stuff lately. They've only lost twice all season, and recent results show they can mix it with the big boys - that 0-0 draw against league leaders Hearts was proper stuff. At home, they've been solid as a rock, keeping clean sheets against Hibernian (2-0) and Dundee United (2-0). Yeah, they had a blip in the League Cup with a 1-4 home loss to St Mirren, but in the league, they mean business.

Now Livingston... blimey, where do I start? They're rock bottom of the table with just 8 points from 14 games, and here's the killer stat - they haven't won a single game in their last 10 matches. Not one! Their away form is absolutely shocking too - 0 wins from their last 6 away trips, scoring less than a goal per game while shipping nearly two. They did manage a couple of draws recently, but when you're getting beat by Aberdeen and Rangers, you know you're in trouble.

The head-to-head tells us everything we need to know really. Motherwell have won 6 out of 8 meetings, and get this - they've got a 100% home record against Livingston. Four games, four wins. The last time they met, Motherwell went to Livingston's patch and won 2-1, so they know how to get the job done.

Looking at the stats, Motherwell average 1.2 goals at home while Livingston concede 1.83 on their travels. The numbers don't lie - Livingston's defence is about as sturdy as a paper umbrella in a hurricane.

The bookies have Motherwell at 1.67, which seems about right to me. I'd say there's about a 60-65% chance of a home win here. Livingston are just too poor away from home, and Motherwell are too good at their place right now.

Key Points:

• Motherwell are 3rd in the table, Livingston are bottom

• Livingston haven't won in 10 games (0W, 4D, 6L)

• Motherwell have 100% home record vs Livingston (4-0-0)

• Livingston concede 1.83 goals per away game

• Motherwell kept clean sheets in last two home league games

The Verdict: This looks pretty straightforward to me. Motherwell should have too much quality for a Livingston side that's completely lost their way. The home advantage, the H2H record, and the massive difference in form all point one way.