Nantes vs Monaco Prediction

Right then, let's have a proper look at this one down at the pub. Nantes are having a right old time of it at the moment, sitting 13th in the table with just 9 points from 9 games. Their home form has been shocking, mind - losing 60% of their home matches this season. They're barely scoring a goal per game at home (1.00) and letting in 1.60, which ain't great reading for the home fans.

Monaco, on the other hand, are sitting pretty in 6th with 17 points. They've been decent on their travels, winning 25% of away games, but here's the thing - they're leaking goals like a sieve away from home. Nearly two and a half goals per game conceded (2.25) on the road! They're also scoring though, with 1.25 per game away.

Now, the head-to-head tells a proper story. Nantes have NEVER beaten Monaco at home in 9 attempts. Not once! The last meeting was an absolute hammering - 7-1 to Monaco. Seven out of nine meetings between these two have gone over 2.5 goals, so we're usually in for a bit of goal action.

Looking at recent form, Nantes did grab a decent 2-1 win away at Paris FC, but they've struggled against the better sides, losing to Lille (0-2), Nice (1-0), and PSG (0-1). Monaco have been drawing for fun lately - 0-0 with Tottenham, 1-1 with Angers, 2-2 with Nice, and 2-2 with Manchester City in the Champions League. They did get turned over 3-1 at Lorient though, showing they can be vulnerable on the road.

The stats are screaming 'both teams score' here. Monaco's away games see both teams net 80% of the time, and with Nantes scoring at home and Monaco's defensive issues away, it looks like we're in for an open game. The goal expectancy has both teams around 1.5 goals each, which suggests goals are coming.