Naples vs Union Omaha Prediction

Omaha's Unbeaten Run Faces Naples Test

Preview

Right then, let's have a proper look at this USL League One clash between Naples and Union Omaha. These two are neck and neck in the table - just one point separates 'em with Naples sitting pretty in 4th on 47 points and Omaha right behind in 5th on 46.

Now, here's where it gets interesting. Union Omaha are absolutely flying at the moment, mate. They haven't lost in their last 10 games - that's 6 wins and 4 draws, collecting a whopping 2.2 points per game. They're banging in 2.3 goals per game while keeping things tight at the back with just 0.8 conceded. That's proper form, that is.

Naples, on the other hand, have been a bit hit and miss. Four wins, two draws, and four losses in their last 10 gives 'em 1.4 points per game. They've had some decent results like that 2-0 win over Charlotte, but they've also had some stinkers - getting battered 2-0 by Westchester and losing 1-0 to Spokane.

The reverse fixture just a few weeks back tells a story too - Omaha beat Naples 2-1 at home. And looking at the head-to-head this season, each team has won once. Naples won 3-1 at home back in May, but Omaha got their revenge with that 2-1 win. Both games saw both teams score and both went over 2.5 goals.

Naples have been decent at home mind you, winning 60% of their last 5 home games and scoring 2 goals per game on their own patch. But Omaha's away form is solid too - 66.67% win rate in their last 3 away travels.

When you look at the numbers, Omaha's form is just too good to ignore. Unbeaten in 10 games, scoring for fun, and they've already shown they can beat Naples this season. The odds of 1.81 for an away win look about right to me - maybe even a touch generous given how well they're playing.

Key Points:

• Union Omaha unbeaten in last 10 games (6W, 4D)

• Omaha beat Naples 2-1 in reverse fixture

• Both teams scored in both H2H meetings this season

• Omaha scoring 2.3 goals per game recently

• Naples inconsistent form with 4 losses in last 10

Sometimes you just have to go with the team that's playing the better football, and right now that's Union Omaha without a doubt. Their momentum is brilliant, and they're scoring goals for fun. I'm backing them to continue their unbeaten run and take all three points.

Match time
Recommended Bet
AWAY WIN
Odds
1.81
+EV
+8.6%
Estimated Chance60%
Stake & Profit
Stake:-Profit:0.00
Outcome
OPEN