Necaxa vs Atletico San Luis Prediction

Right then, let's have a proper look at this one. Necaxa hosting Atletico San Luis – it's not the top-of-the-table clash everyone's chatting about, but for us proper fans, it's a proper football match. Two sides having a bit of a wobble early doors, sitting 15th and 11th respectively. Three points here could kick-start a season.

Necaxa, bless 'em, are having a right mare in front of goal lately. Their last three league games? Lost 2-0 to Club America, 1-0 to Atlas, and 2-0 to Monterrey. That's three losses on the spin and, more importantly, not a single goal scored. That's a proper drought. Their only wins in the last few months came against Santos Laguna, who are propping up the table. At home, they've won just one of their last four, scoring a modest 1.25 goals per game. The worrying stat? Zero clean sheets in their last ten outings. Not one. Their defence is about as tight as a sieve.

Now, Atletico San Luis are a funny old side. They've been better on their travels lately, winning 2-0 away at Club America and drawing 1-1 at Club Tijuana in their last two road trips. They're conceding just a goal a game away from home and have kept a clean sheet in 40% of their last ten matches overall. They're no world-beaters, but they're organised and can nick a result. They did just lose 3-2 at home to the league leaders, Guadalajara, which ain't nothing to be ashamed of.

But here's the real juicy bit – the head-to-head. Blimey, these two love a goal fest. Eight of the last nine meetings between these sides have seen over 2.5 goals. The last time they met, back in October, it finished 4-3 to Necaxa away from home. Absolute chaos. History tells us we're in for goals, even if Necaxa's recent form suggests otherwise.

So, what's the play? The bookies have Necaxa as slight favourites at 2.09, which feels a bit generous given their current toothless attack. San Luis at 3.80 for the away win might tempt a few, but I'm looking at the goal markets. Both Teams to Score is priced at 1.69. Given Necaxa can't keep a clean sheet to save their lives (0% rate) and San Luis have scored in three of their last four league games, both nets rattling seems a decent shout. The historical data screams it, and the current stats back it up.

Key Points:

Necaxa have lost their last three league games without scoring a single goal.

Atletico San Luis have a solid away record recently (W2 D1 L1 in last four).

Head-to-head is a goal bonanza: Over 2.5 goals in 8 of the last 9 clashes.

Necaxa have failed to keep a clean sheet in their last 10 matches.

• Both Teams have Scored in 7 of the last 9 meetings between these sides.

In summary, forget the league positions. This has all the ingredients for an open, end-to-end game. Necaxa are desperate for a goal, San Luis are capable on the break. The history between them is all about goals. I can see both teams finding the net here, making 'Both Teams to Score - Yes' the smart play.