Newcastle Jets vs Perth Glory Prediction

Bottom-Table Battle: Jets Host Toothless Glory

Preview

Right then, let's have a proper look at this bottom-of-the-table clash! Newcastle Jets are sitting 10th with 3 points, while Perth Glory are rock bottom with just 1 point. Someone's got to start climbing the table, and I reckon it's the home side.

Newcastle have been leaking goals like a sieve (1.9 per game) but they can definitely score - averaging 2.4 goals per game. They put 5 past Melbourne Victory in their only win this season, though they did get hammered 1-4 by Sydney and 3-0 by Brisbane Roar in their last two outings. Still, at home they've got a 60% win rate overall.

Perth Glory, boet, they're struggling badly! They've scored only 2 goals in 4 league matches - that's shocking stuff! Their recent form reads 0-1 loss to Central Coast, 0-2 loss to Melbourne Victory, and 0-4 hammering by Melbourne City. Away from home they're managing just 0.67 goals per game with a miserable 16.67% win rate.

The head-to-head is interesting - Newcastle have NEVER beaten Perth at home (0 wins, 3 draws), but 8 of their 9 meetings have gone Over 2.5 goals. Given Perth's current attacking woes, I reckon that home record is about to change.

Newcastle average 12.25 shots per game with 57.3% possession, while Perth manage 12 shots with only 45.5% possession. The stats show Newcastle should control this game, and with Perth unable to score goals, the home side should have enough to get the three points.

Both teams have had decent rest - Newcastle 14 days, Perth 16 days - so fatigue won't be an issue. This is a must-win game for both sides, but only one looks capable of actually winning it.

Match time
Recommended Bet
HOME WIN
Odds
1.90
+EV
+14.0%
Estimated Chance60%
Stake & Profit
Stake:-Profit:0.00
Outcome
OPEN