Newells Old Boys vs Union Santa Fe Prediction

Union to Feast on Struggling Newells

Preview

Ag shame, this looks like a proper mismatch! Newells Old Boys are having an absolute shocker of a season, sitting joint bottom of the table with only 11 points from 13 games. Their recent form is dire - just 1 win in their last 10 matches and they're leaking goals like a broken tap, conceding 2 per game on average. They've been hammered 5-0 by Boca Juniors and 3-0 by Belgrano Cordoba recently. At home, they've only managed 1 win in 5 attempts.

On the other hand, Union Santa Fe are cooking with gas! Sitting pretty in 4th place with 20 points, they've been solid all season. Their away form is particularly impressive - winning 60% of their away games and banging in 2.2 goals per game on the road. They've put some proper teams to the sword recently, including a 4-0 thumping of Instituto and a 3-2 win over Racing Club.

The stats don't lie here. Union are averaging more shots, better possession, and crucially, they know where the back of the net is. Newells can't stop conceding and can't score consistently. Even though the head-to-head is historically balanced, current form tells a completely different story. Union's away attack (2.2 goals per game) against Newells' home defense (1.4 goals conceded per game) is a recipe for success.

With Union having 10 days rest compared to Newells' 14, freshness shouldn't be an issue. The odds of 2.50 for an away win look generous considering Union's form and Newells' struggles.

Key Points:

  • Newells rock bottom of table with only 11 points
  • Union flying high in 4th place with 20 points
  • Union's away form: 60% win rate, 2.2 goals per game
  • Newells conceding 2 goals per game recently
  • Union's recent big wins: 4-0 vs Instituto, 3-2 vs Racing Club
  • Newells' recent heavy defeats: 5-0 vs Boca, 3-0 vs Belgrano

This one looks straightforward - Union should have too much quality for a struggling Newells side that can't buy a win at the moment.

Match time
Recommended Bet
AWAY WIN
Odds
2.50
+EV
+37.5%
Estimated Chance55%
Stake & Profit
Stake:-Profit:0.00
Outcome
OPEN