Newport County vs Fleetwood Town Prediction

Newport County vs Fleetwood Town

Preview

Right then, let’s get stuck into this League Two clash between Newport County and Fleetwood Town. If you’re looking for a bit of value, you’ve got to look at the table positions here. Newport are currently languishing at the bottom of the pack in 20th place, while Fleetwood are sitting comfortably in 6th. There’s a massive gulf in class showing right now.

Newport County have had a rough run of it lately. They’re picking up a meager 0.90 points per game, and their recent form reflects that, having lost their last two league outings (1-0 to Northampton and 2-1 to Salford City). Their defense is looking a bit like a sieve, having conceded 22 goals in their last ten games—that’s an average of over 2.20 a night. They’ve only managed to keep a clean sheet once in that period, which isn't exactly the fortress we like to see at home.

Then you’ve got Fleetwood Town. These lads are the opposite. They’re one of the toughest outfits to break down in the league right now, coming off a tidy 2-0 win over Shrewsbury. They’ve only conceded 5 goals in their last ten games, which is a brilliant average of just 0.50 goals conceded per game. They’ve kept a clean sheet in 60% of those matches, and that kind of defensive solidity is exactly what you want to see when you’re heading into a game against a leaky defense.

The head-to-head history doesn't lie either. Newport haven't won a single time against Fleetwood in their last six meetings. In fact, they haven't even managed a home win against them. Fleetwood are the much more consistent side, and with Newport's current struggle to find any rhythm, they’re going to find it very hard to keep the visitors quiet for the full 90 minutes. I expect Fleetwood to use their defensive organization to frustrate Newport and nick all three points.

Key Points:

  • Newport County are bottom of the table (20th) with a poor 0.90 PPG.
  • Fleetwood Town are in 6th place and significantly more consistent.
  • Fleetwood's defense is elite, conceding only 0.50 goals per game.
  • Newport's defense is struggling, conceding 2.20 goals per game.
  • Newport have failed to win any of their last 6 H2H meetings against Fleetwood.

The best bet here is Fleetwood Town to win.

Match time
Recommended Bet
AWAY WIN
Odds
2.30
+EV
+38.0%
Estimated Chance60%
Stake & Profit
Stake:-Profit:0.00
Outcome
OPEN