Nice vs Strasbourg Preview - Ligue 1 Clash at Nice's Ground

Hey, it's Pajimon here, and I've got my beer cold and the braai lit for this one. Nice and Strasbourg are meeting at Nice's ground on 11 October, and I'm telling you, the numbers are painting a picture that's got me reaching for my phone to find a price — but we'll get to that. Here's the case for Strasbourg, and it's a good one. Over their last 10 games, they've scored 1.6 per game and conceded 2.4, with both teams scoring in 7 of those 10. In their last 5, they've put 10 goals on the board at 2 per game — including that 6-2 away thrashing of Estac Troyes on 6 September and a 2-1 win over Lens at home on 29 August. Their away record over 20 games is 7 wins, 5 draws, 8 losses, with 1.8 goals scored per game. That's a team that travels and expects to score. Their xG in three recent games shows 1.6 per game for and 2.57 against — these are goal-fest matches, my friend. Now I'll give Nice their due, because I'm not a one-sided man. At home over 20 games, Nice have 6 wins, 9 draws and 5 losses, conceding just 1.5 per game. That's a decent defensive base. In the last 12 months of head-to-head, they drew 1-1 at their ground on 3 January and won 2-0 away at Strasbourg in the Coupe de France on 22 April. Strasbourg won 3-1 at their own ground on 4 April, so it's been one win each and a draw. Nice's defence is the better one here — 1.5 conceded per game at home to Strasbourg's 1.9 away. And that 2-1 win over Lille on 20 September at home shows they can still get it done when it matters. But here's the thing that keeps me up at night: Nice's last 5 has been a bit of a struggle. One win, two draws, two losses. They failed to score in 3 of those 5. Their xG in the two games where we have data (22 August and 30 August) was 0.75 per game, and they actually scored zero. That's not the Nice I want to bet on. And their BTTS rate in the last 10 is just 3 out of 10 — they're not the team that opens up. Key Points: - Strasbourg score 1.8 per game away (20 games) vs Nice's 1.4 at home - Nice concede 1.5 per game at home; Strasbourg concede 1.9 away - Head-to-head in the last 12 months: one win each, one draw - Strasbourg's BTTS rate is 7/10 in their last 10; Nice's is 3/10 - Over 2.5 goals: 6/10 for Strasbourg in last 10, 4/10 for Nice The available prices could not be used for a recommendation, so I'm sitting this one out. No Bet.