Preview
Mr CertaintyThe strongest case in this fixture is that both teams will find the net. Southampton have scored in every one of their last 10 matches across all venues, and their away record over 20 games shows them failing to score in just 1 of those 20. Norwich, despite a difficult stretch, have found the net in 7 of their last 10 games, and their home record over 20 matches sees both teams scoring in 13 of those 20. The most recent meeting at this ground, on 13 December 2025, finished 2–1, with both sides finding the net.
The counter-argument is that Norwich are in a poor stretch. They have lost their last four matches, conceding 15 goals in that span, and their points per game over the last 10 is just 1.2. A side that has failed to score in 3 of those 10 games could well go quiet at home against a team that kept a clean sheet in their most recent outing. Southampton's 1–0 win over Portsmouth on 11 October, with a red card in the 44th minute, shows they can get results without scoring much. Norwich's xG against figure of 1.86 per game in recent matches also suggests their defence is leaking.
However, the broader picture favours goals. Norwich's home record over 20 games sees them scoring 1.75 per game and conceding 1.05 per game. Southampton's away record over 20 games sees them scoring 1.85 per game and conceding 1.0 per game. The xG data from recent matches reinforces this: Southampton are creating 2.13 expected goals per game while conceding just 0.82, and even in their poor run, Norwich scored in three of their four recent defeats. The head-to-head at this venue in the recent window produced 3 goals, and both the home and away records lean towards open, scoring games.
Key Points:
- Southampton have scored in all 10 of their last 10 matches; Norwich have scored in 7 of 10
- Norwich's home record over 20 games: 13 of 20 saw both teams score
- Southampton's away record over 20 games: 15 of 20 saw both teams score
- Norwich have lost their last 4 but scored in 3 of those defeats
- The recent head-to-head at this ground (13 December 2025) finished 2–1
My pick: both teams to score.