Notts County vs Grimsby Prediction

Alright, gather round! We've got a tasty League Two clash on Saturday as Notts County look to keep their promotion charge firing against a Grimsby side who've hit a bit of a wobble. The hosts are sitting pretty in 4th spot, just two points off the automatic places, while the visitors are bobbing along in 12th wondering if they can spoil the party.

Now then, let's talk about Notts County. They've been absolutely flying lately – seven wins from their last ten, including a proper thumping 5-0 against Tranmere last time out. That's the kind of result that sends a message to the rest of the division. At home, they're even more formidable, winning five of their last six on their own patch and keeping things tighter than a drum at the back, conceding just 0.5 goals per game. When you look at the head-to-head, it's one-way traffic too – County have won six of the last nine against Grimsby, including the last three on the spin. The most recent meeting back in December? A comfortable 2-0 win for the hosts.

But what about Grimsby? Well, it's a bit of a mixed bag, ain't it? They started 2026 with a decent run – beating Colchester and Cheltenham away, holding MK Dons to a draw – but they've hit the buffers recently. That 3-1 defeat at Bristol Rovers last weekend was a shocker, especially against a side languishing down in 20th. Their form graph is pointing downwards with just one point from their last three league games. Sure, they've kept five clean sheets in their last ten overall, but on their travels, they've been scraping by with just one goal per game on average.

The bookies have priced Notts County at around 2.05 to win this, which looks a decent bit of business to me. When you've got a side winning 83% of their home games against a team that's just been turned over by the relegation battlers, the value is with the hosts. Grimsby aren't pushovers – they've got a 50% away win rate in their last four on the road – but the momentum is all with County.

Key Points:

• Notts County have won 7 of their last 10 matches, including a 5-0 demolition of Tranmere

• The hosts boast an 83% win rate in their last 6 home games, conceding just 0.5 goals per game

• Grimsby have taken just 1 point from their last 3 league games, including a 3-1 defeat at struggling Bristol Rovers

• Head-to-head history heavily favors Notts County with 6 wins from the last 9 meetings

• Home win odds of 2.05 offer value against a Grimsby side showing declining form

Summary:

This looks like a straightforward home win to me. Notts County are in the groove, their home record is rock-solid, and Grimsby are limping into this one off the back of that Bristol Rovers defeat. At 2.05, the hosts are the bet.