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Right then, let's have a proper look at this Sunday showdown between bottom-dwellers OH Leuven and the European hopefuls Gent. The lads from Leuven are having a right old time of it at the wrong end of the table, sitting pretty in 15th spot with just 9 points from 12 games. They've managed to find the net a grand total of 6 times in their last 10 matches - that's not even a goal every other game, is it?
Gent, on the other hand, are living it up in 3rd place with 20 points, and they've been banging them in for fun lately. Twenty goals in their last 10 games tells you all you need to know about their attacking intent. They're averaging a tasty 2.33 goals per game on their travels, which is proper impressive stuff.
Now, here's where it gets interesting. Leuven's home form has been shocking - just one win in five at their own patch. They did manage a decent 1-1 draw against KV Mechelen last time out, but let's be honest, they've been struggling to break teams down. Gent, meanwhile, just put four past Standard Liege without breaking a sweat, though they did get a bit of a shock losing 4-1 to Zulte Waregem in their last away game.
The head-to-head doesn't make great reading for Leuven fans either. Gent have won four of the nine meetings between these two, with Leuven only managing two wins. At home, Leuven have only beaten Gent once in four attempts.
Looking at the numbers, Leuven are averaging just 0.8 goals at home while conceding 1.2. Gent are scoring for fun away from home but also letting in 2.33 goals per game on their travels. That's a bit of a defensive worry for the visitors, isn't it?
The bookies have got Gent as slight favorites at 2.70, with Leuven at 2.45. The draw's sitting at 3.50 if you fancy a cagey affair. But given Gent's attacking prowess and Leuven's defensive frailties, I'm looking at the goals market here.
