Oldham vs Accrington ST Prediction

Oldham host Accrington ST at their ground on 10 October in League Two, and the strongest case for the hosts rests on a solid home record and a recent head-to-head that went their way. In 20 home games spanning 1 January to 26 September, Oldham have won 11, drawn 3 and lost 6, averaging 1.8 points per game and scoring 1.55 per match while conceding just 0.95. They have kept a clean sheet in 10 of those 20 home games and failed to score in only 2. The most recent meeting at this venue, on 2 May 2026, ended 3–0 to Oldham, and the head-to-head record at this ground in the recent meetings shows the hosts with the edge. That said, the full head-to-head spans six years, with older meetings from 2019 and 2021 diluting the picture, so the 3–0 result is the most relevant data point.

The counter-argument is Oldham's recent form. In their last five matches, the hosts have won just once and lost four, including a 1–4 home defeat to Salford City on 26 September, a 1–2 loss to Chesterfield at home on 12 September, and 0–2 defeats at Rochdale and Tranmere. Their points per game over that stretch is 0.6, and they have conceded 10 goals while scoring only 3. Their current run is a loss. Accrington ST, by contrast, have gone unbeaten in their last five matches — one win and four draws — averaging 1.4 points per game and scoring 1.4 per match while conceding just 1. Their most recent outing, a 1–1 draw with Salford City on 6 October, came just four days before this fixture.

Accrington ST's away record is their clear weakness: 5 wins, 4 draws and 11 losses in 20 away games, with 0.95 points per game and 1.35 goals conceded per match. They have failed to score in 8 of those 20 away outings and kept a clean sheet in only 6. The single recent meeting at Accrington's ground on 29 November 2025 ended 1–0 to the hosts, but that is one data point against a 5–11 away record. The older head-to-head meetings at Accrington's ground are historical only, so they do not carry current weight.

The goal markets tell a mixed story. Oldham's home games have seen over 2.5 goals in 10 of 20 matches, while Accrington ST's away games have gone under 2.5 in 11 of 20. Both teams' last five matches lean toward under 2.5 — 3 of 5 for Oldham and 4 of 5 for Accrington ST. Both teams to score has been the outcome in 8 of 20 home games for Oldham and 8 of 20 away games for Accrington ST, while the head-to-head shows only 1 of 5 meetings saw both sides find the net. The 3–0 and 1–0 recent results at each venue both point toward one side failing to score.

Key Points:

• Oldham's 20-game home record: 11W 3D 6L, 1.8 pts/game, 1.55 scored, 0.95 conceded, 10 clean sheets

• Oldham's last five: 1W 0D 4L, 0.6 pts/game, 3 scored, 10 conceded

• Accrington ST's last five: 1W 4D 0L, 1.4 pts/game, 7 scored, 5 conceded

• Accrington ST's 20-game away record: 5W 4D 11L, 0.95 pts/game, 1.35 conceded, 8 failed to score

• Recent H2H at Oldham's ground: 3–0 to Oldham (2 May 2026); at Accrington's ground: 1–0 to Accrington ST (29 November 2025)

The home record and head-to-head point to Oldham, but the recent form gap — four losses in five for the hosts against an unbeaten run for the visitors — makes it impossible to rate any outcome with the confidence this fixture demands. No Bet.