Paris FC vs Auxerre Prediction

Ag man, this is proper relegation stuff right here! Paris FC sitting in 12th with 14 points, hosting the boys from Auxerre who are dead last with only 8 points. Someone needs to start picking up points or they'll be packing their bags for Ligue 2 next season!

Looking at recent form, Paris FC has been a bit of a mixed bag - 3 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses in their last 10. They can definitely score, averaging 1.50 goals per game, and they showed some guts beating Monaco 1-0 away and drawing 3-3 with Lyon at home. But their home form has been shocking, boys - only 20% win rate in their last 5 home games! They lost 0-1 to Rennes at home and got hammered 4-2 by Lille.

Now Auxerre... ja nee, it's not looking good for them. Only 1 win in their last 10 games and they can't buy a goal, scoring just 0.50 per game. Their away form is an absolute disaster - 0% win rate on the road and they're shipping 2.25 goals per game away from home. They did manage a 0-0 draw against Lyon recently, but let's be honest, that's probably more about Lyon having an off day than Auxerre suddenly becoming defensive masters.

Head-to-head, it's been pretty even over the years (3-2-3), but Auxerre surprisingly won the last two meetings 0-2. Still, Paris FC has a decent home record against them historically (2-1-2).

The stats paint a clear picture: Paris FC scores and concedes plenty, while Auxerre just can't score away from home. With Paris FC averaging 1.60 goals at home and Auxerre only managing 0.50 away, you'd have to back the home side here, even with their recent home struggles.

Key Points:

• Paris FC has poor home form (20% win rate) but can score goals

• Auxerre has the worst away record in Ligue 1 (0% win rate)

• Auxerre averages only 0.50 goals scored away from home

• Paris FC scores 1.60 goals per game at home

• Despite recent H2H losses, Paris FC has decent overall home record vs Auxerre

This looks like a must-win game for Paris FC against the worst travelers in the league. Even with their home struggles, they should have enough quality to get the job done against an Auxerre side that looks completely lost on the road.