Preview
Right, so we've got Perugia hosting Pescara on 23 October in Serie C Girone B, and if I'm being honest, the visitors look like the ones with the legs for this one.
Pescara have been quietly solid over the last five games — three wins, a draw and a loss, which is two points per game. More importantly, they've scored in every single one of those five, and only conceded three goals across the lot. That's a team that's keeping it tight at the back and still finding the net. Their away record over 20 games tells a similar story: 4 wins, 7 draws, 9 losses, but they're averaging 1.3 goals per game on the road, which is more than enough to get you a result in this division. In their last 10 across all grounds, they've conceded just 1.2 per game and picked up 1.5 points per game. That's a side that travels well and doesn't panic on the road.
Now, Perugia at home are no pushovers — 7 wins, 6 draws, 7 losses over 20 home games, and they've kept 5 clean sheets. But the last five paints a less comfortable picture. They lost 0–2 at home to Vado just 12 days ago, and that was with a red card in the sixth minute, which is a tough way to start a match. They did bounce back with a 5–1 away thrashing of Campobasso five days ago, so the attacking fire is there, but the defensive fragility at home is a concern. Over their last 10 games, they've conceded 1.5 per game, which is a lot when you're trying to hold a lead in a tight one.
The head-to-head here is entirely historical — no meetings within the last 12 months. The last time these two met was back in January 2025, a 0–0 at Perugia's ground. Before that, it's been a mix of draws and low-scoring affairs going back to 2020. So we're flying blind on the direct history, and I'd lean heavily on current form and the home/away numbers instead.
The counter-argument is simple: Perugia just put five past Campobasso, and at home they've got a record of 7 wins in 20. They're not a team that sits down, and if they get the early goals, they can grind it out. But that 0–2 home loss to Vado, with a man down from the sixth minute, showed they can be vulnerable when the game goes against them. And Pescara's away defence has been solid — 40 goals conceded in 20 away games, but their last five games show only 3 conceded in total.
Key Points:
- Pescara have scored in all 5 of their last 5 games and conceded just 3 across that run
- Pescara's away record: 4W 7D 9L in 20 games, averaging 1.3 goals per game
- Perugia's home record is mixed: 7W 6D 7L, and they lost 0–2 at home to Vado 12 days ago
- No head-to-head meetings within the last 12 months; the record is entirely historical
- Perugia's last 10 shows 1.5 goals conceded per game, a vulnerability Pescara can exploit
My pick: Pescara away win at 2.6. The visitors have the form, the defensive solidity, and the away numbers to edge this one, and the price is fair for what I'm seeing on the ground.
