Preview
Value VinnyPeterhead and Alloa Athletic meet at Peterhead's ground on 31 October in League One, and the most compelling story in the numbers is how both sides are struggling to find the net. Peterhead failed to score in two of their last five matches — a 0–3 loss at Montrose on 24 October and a 0–1 home defeat to Queen of the South on 10 October — while Alloa Athletic managed a blank in three of their last five, including the 0–1 home loss to Queen of the South on 24 October, the 0–0 draw at Annan Athletic on 13 October and the 0–3 home loss to Hamilton Academical on 10 October. At least one team kept scoreless in four of Peterhead's last five and four of Alloa's last five, and that is the angle that jumps off the page.
Peterhead's home record over 20 games is 8 wins, 3 draws and 9 losses, with 1.05 goals scored per game and 1.1 conceded. Their last two home results were a 2–0 win over Cove Rangers on 17 October and a 1–0 win over Rangers U21 in the Challenge Cup on 13 October, but before that they dropped a 0–1 to Queen of the South at home. Alloa Athletic's away record over 20 games is 7 wins, 3 draws and 10 losses, with 1.15 scored per game but 1.45 conceded. Their most recent away result was a 3–0 win at East Fife on 17 October, but before that they drew 0–0 at Annan Athletic and lost 1–4 at Ross County on 3 October.
The head-to-head at Peterhead's ground is positive for the hosts: they won 3–1 in March 2026, and the 2–1 in September 2025 is historical record. The wider recent picture at both venues is less one-sided. At Alloa's ground, the last three meetings produced a 1–1 draw in August 2026, a 1–2 Peterhead win in March 2026 and a 4–0 Alloa win in December 2025. The most recent meeting was that 1–1 draw at Alloa.
The counter-argument is that the head-to-head has been goal-rich. Three of the four recent meetings at both venues produced over 2.5 goals, and the 4–0 at Alloa's ground in December 2025 showed that when one side breaks through, the scoring can flow. Alloa's away scoring of 1.15 per game is actually higher than Peterhead's home scoring of 1.05, and their 6 clean sheets in 20 away games suggest they can shut teams down. Peterhead, meanwhile, have conceded in 17 of their 20 home games, so a defensive wall is not guaranteed.
Key Points:
- Peterhead failed to score in 2 of their last 5; Alloa Athletic failed to score in 3 of their last 5
- At least one team kept scoreless in 4 of Peterhead's last 5 and 4 of Alloa's last 5
- Peterhead's home record: 8W 3D 9L in 20 games, 1.05 scored per game, 1.1 conceded per game
- Alloa's away record: 7W 3D 10L in 20 games, 1.15 scored per game, 1.45 conceded per game
- H2H at Peterhead's ground: 3–1 (March 2026) and 2–1 (September 2025, historical)
The market prices both teams to score at 1.67, implying a 59.88% chance, but the recent form tells a very different story. With both sides blanking in the vast majority of their recent matches and the venue records showing 11 of 20 games with at least one team scoreless on each side, I rate the chance of at least one team failing to score at around 57%. That sits comfortably above the market's view, and that gap is where the value lives. Odds don't lie — but bookies do, and this is one where the numbers are screaming at you.
My pick: both teams not to score.
