Preview
Umery UnderdogThere's something quietly special about Cremonese's away numbers, and if you've been watching the underdogs in Serie B, you'll spot it. Over their last 20 away games, Cremonese have kept at least one team scoreless in 16 of those 20. That's not a coincidence — it's a pattern. Their last 10 games across all venues show the same thread: 8 of 10 saw at least one side fail to score, and they've kept 6 clean sheets in that stretch.
Cremonese walk into this one unbeaten in their last five — two wins and three draws — with just three goals conceded. Their xG figures from the three most recent games with data show a side that creates very little (0.28 per game) but keeps the ball out of their own net (0.92 conceded per game). That's a low-scoring profile, and it lines up neatly with what their away record has been telling us for a while.
Pisa, for their part, are in decent recent shape. They won 3–0 at Vicenza just seven days before this kickoff and scored nine goals in their last five matches. Their xG for in the three games with data sits at 2.15 per game, which suggests they've been generating plenty of chances. But their home record over 20 games is a different story: 3 wins, 3 draws, 14 losses, and not a single clean sheet in 20. In 9 of those 20 home games, at least one team failed to score.
The head-to-head at Pisa's ground is thin — just one recent meeting within the last 12 months, which Pisa won 1–0 back in November 2025. The older meetings at this venue are historical and don't carry much weight for current form.
Now, the counter-argument is real, and I'll give it its due. Pisa's last five games have all seen over 2.5 goals, and their attacking output in recent weeks has been strong. A 3–0 win seven days ago doesn't suggest a team that's going to sit back and play for a 0–0. And Cremonese's xG for of 0.28 per game, while low, is based on only three games.
But the weight of the evidence leans toward a tight, low-scoring affair. Cremonese's away record is the most telling single statistic here — 16 of 20 games saw at least one team score zero. Combined with their recent defensive solidity and the fact that Pisa's home record has been leaky (1.7 conceded per game), the picture points to a game where at least one side will be kept quiet.
Key Points:
- Cremonese have kept at least one team scoreless in 16 of their last 20 away games
- Cremonese are unbeaten in their last five matches, conceding just 3 goals
- Pisa's home record over 20 games includes 14 losses and zero clean sheets
- Pisa's last five games all saw over 2.5 goals, but their home scoring record is mixed
- The only recent head-to-head at Pisa's ground ended 1–0 to Pisa
I'm backing both teams not to score.