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The strongest case in this fixture points to Cremonese's away record. Over their last 20 away games, Cremonese have collected 6 wins, 3 draws and 11 losses, averaging 1.05 points per game and conceding 1.25 per game, with 7 clean sheets in that span. By contrast, Pisa's home record over 20 games is 3 wins, 3 draws and 14 losses at 0.6 points per game, conceding 1.7 per game and recording zero clean sheets. The gap in defensive solidity on the road versus at home is the most telling comparison in this fixture.
Cremonese's recent form reinforces that picture. Their last five matches produced 2 wins, 3 draws and 0 losses at 1.8 points per game, with 3 clean sheets and only 3 goals conceded. Their last game was a 0-0 draw at Arezzo on 10 October, where a red card in the 59th minute left them with ten men. Before that, they beat Juventus 1-0 in a friendly on 2 October. The xG data from their last three tracked games shows just 0.28 expected goals per game, with zero actual goals in those matches, suggesting their attacking output has been minimal.
The counter-argument favours Pisa. Their last five matches saw them go over 2.5 goals in every single game, scoring 9 and conceding 9 at 1.8 per game. Their most recent result was a 3-0 away win at Vicenza on 10 October, and before that a 3-0 away win at Juve Stabia on 6 September. Their xG for in the last three tracked games stands at 2.15 per game, well above their actual output of 5 goals, which points to underlying attacking momentum. At home, the recent head-to-head meeting on 7 November 2025 ended 1-0 to Pisa, and the older meeting at the same ground on 13 May 2025 was a 2-1 Pisa win.
However, Pisa's home record over 20 games tells a different story. Fourteen losses in 20 home fixtures, 9 of those ending without Pisa scoring, and zero clean sheets make this a difficult environment for the hosts. The 1-4 home defeat to Virtus Entella on 11 September, compounded by a red card in the 35th minute, is a reminder of how fragile Pisa's home record remains.
The head-to-head over the last 12 months is split: Cremonese won 3-0 at their ground in May 2026, and Pisa won 1-0 at their ground in November 2025. Both meetings were in Serie A. The older meetings, stretching back to 2024, are historical record and do not carry weight for current form.
Key Points:
- Cremonese's away record (6W 3D 11L, 1.05 ppg, 7 clean sheets in 20) is markedly stronger than Pisa's home record (3W 3D 14L, 0.6 ppg, 0 clean sheets in 20).
- Cremonese have gone 2W 3D 0L in their last five, with 3 clean sheets and only 3 goals conceded.
- Pisa went over 2.5 goals in all of their last five matches, but their home record over 20 games includes 14 losses and zero clean sheets.
- The recent head-to-head at Pisa's ground ended 1-0 to Pisa, while the meeting at Cremonese's ground was a 3-0 Cremonese win.
- Cremonese's xG for in the last three tracked games is 0.28 per game with zero actual goals, while Pisa's xG for is 2.15 per game.
No Bet. The football points in different directions and no single outcome carries the confidence this fixture demands. The evidence simply does not support a sure thing.