Portsmouth vs Millwall Prediction

Portsmouth and Millwall are set to meet at Portsmouth's ground on 24 October, and if the last two meetings between these sides are anything to go by, you can expect goals from both ends.

Portsmouth come into this with the better recent form. Their last five has produced two wins, two draws and a loss, with 1.6 points per game. The wins came at Norwich (1–0) and at home against Sheffield United (3–2), and they've also drawn 1–1 at Wolves and 2–2 with Blackburn. Millwall, by contrast, have managed just one win in their last five — a 1–0 away at Preston — with three draws and a loss, giving them 1.2 points per game. Their most recent game was a 2–2 draw at home to Lincoln.

The head-to-head in the last 12 months tells a clear story. Portsmouth won both meetings: 3–1 at home in November 2025 and 3–1 away at Millwall's ground in February 2026. That's two wins, six goals scored, and both teams finding the net in each game. The older meetings go back further and show a different picture, but those are historical and don't really tell you what to expect now.

Here's where it gets interesting for the both-teams-to-score angle. At Portsmouth's ground over 20 games, both teams have scored in 11 of those 20. In Millwall's away record over 20 games, both teams have scored in 12 of those 20. In their last five matches, Portsmouth have had both teams score in 3 of 5, and Millwall the same. And in both recent H2H meetings, both sides found the net. The xG numbers back it up too — Portsmouth are averaging 1.23 xG for per game and Millwall 1.15, so both are creating enough to find a goal.

The counter-argument is that Millwall's away record over 20 games is actually stronger than Portsmouth's home record. Millwall have 9 wins, 7 draws and 4 losses away (1.7 points per game), while Portsmouth at home sit on 7 wins, 5 draws and 8 losses (1.3 points per game). Millwall also concede fewer away (1.05 per game) and pick up more clean sheets (6 out of 20). So on the numbers, Millwall travel well and Portsmouth's home record is a bit patchy.

But the recent form and the head-to-head both point the same way: these two sides score when they meet. The market prices both teams to score at 1.75, which implies about 57% chance. My own read, looking at the venue records, the recent form and the H2H, puts it closer to 59%. That's a small edge, but it's there.

Key Points:

• Portsmouth won both H2H meetings in the last 12 months (3–1 and 3–1)

• Both teams scored in 11/20 at Portsmouth's ground and 12/20 in Millwall's away games

• Portsmouth's last 5: 2W 2D 1L; Millwall's last 5: 1W 3D 1L

• Millwall's away record (1.7 ppg) is stronger than Portsmouth's home record (1.3 ppg)

• Both recent H2H meetings produced 4 goals each

My tip: both teams to score.