Preview
Value VinnyPyramids FC enter this Premier League fixture on a five-game winning run, having scored 13 goals and conceded just 4 across their last five matches. The most recent of those came on 7 October, a 3–2 home win over Olympic El Qanah in the League Cup, and before that a 5–1 demolition of GOR Mahia in the CAF Champions League on 13 September. At home over 20 games, Pyramids FC have won 13 of 20, averaging 1.9 goals per game, and their points-per-game figure of 2.05 tells the story of a side that is comfortable on their own ground.
The head-to-head at this venue gives Pyramids FC a recent edge. In the only meeting at Pyramids FC's ground within the last 12 months, Pyramids FC won 1–0 on 20 February, with Ceramica Cleopatra reduced to 10 men after a red card in the 45th minute. An older meeting at the same ground in March 2025 also saw Pyramids FC win 2–1, though that result is well outside the current cycle. Across the three recent meetings at both venues, Pyramids FC have won one and drawn one, with Ceramica Cleopatra picking up a single win at their own ground in November 2025.
Ceramica Cleopatra, by contrast, have a more mixed record on the road. Over 20 away games, they have won 8, drawn 3 and lost 9, averaging 1.1 goals scored and 0.95 conceded. Their last away win came on 8 September, a 2–0 at Smouha SC, but their most recent match was a 0–1 home defeat to AL Masry on 7 October. In their last five matches overall, they have won four and lost one, but only one of those five games saw both teams score, and only one went over 2.5 goals. Their xG figures across seven recent games show 0.81 per game for and 0.84 per game against, suggesting a side that is competitive in most fixtures but not dominant.
The counter-argument is that Ceramica Cleopatra are not without quality. Their last five matches produced 9 goals from 4 wins, and the 1–1 draw at their ground in May 2026 shows they can frustrate Pyramids FC. However, their away record of 9 losses in 20 games and the fact that they just failed to score at home make it hard to build a strong case for an upset here. Pyramids FC's xG against across five recent games sits at just 0.31 per game, and they have failed to score in only 2 of their 20 home matches, which underlines how difficult it is for visitors to find the net at this ground.
Key Points:
- Pyramids FC have won their last 5 matches, scoring 13 and conceding 4
- Pyramids FC's home record: 13 wins from 20 games, 1.9 goals per game
- Ceramica Cleopatra's away record: 8W 3D 9L over 20 games, 1.1 scored per game
- Recent head-to-head at this venue: Pyramids FC won 1–0 (20 February 2026)
- Ceramica Cleopatra's last match was a 0–1 home loss to AL Masry (7 October)
The numbers point firmly to Pyramids FC. A five-game winning run, a dominant home record and the recent meeting at this ground going their way all stack in the same direction. The market prices Pyramids FC at 63.69% for the win, but the evidence suggests the true likelihood is higher than that. My pick is the Pyramids FC home win.