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There's something about a team that just lost that makes you want to put your arm around them, and that's exactly where Ceramica Cleopatra sit heading into this Premier League clash at Pyramids FC's ground on 12 October. They fell 0–1 to AL Masry in the League Cup on 7 October, and I can feel the little puppy getting a bit rattled. But let's be fair to them: before that stumble, they were winning four in a row, scoring nine and conceding just two across those five matches. That's a side with a spine, even if the most recent game didn't go their way.
The case for Ceramica Cleopatra is built on that recent resilience. They beat Smouha SC 2–0 away on 8 September and won 3–1 at Al Ittihad on 28 August. Their away record over the last 20 games shows 8 wins, 3 draws and 9 losses, with 1.1 goals scored per game. In the head-to-head within the last 12 months, they beat Pyramids FC 2–1 at their own ground in November 2025, and the most recent meeting at Pyramids FC's ground in February 2026 ended 1–0 to the hosts, though Ceramica Cleopatra had a red card in the 45th minute. So the history at this venue is thin — one meeting in the last year — and it wasn't a comfortable one for the visitors.
Now, the counter-argument is hard to ignore, and I'll be honest: Pyramids FC are in a different world right now. Five wins in five, 13 goals scored and just 4 conceded. At home over 20 games, they've won 13 of 20, scoring 1.9 per game. Their xG against in the last five matches with data is a remarkable 0.31 per game, which tells you the backline is barely being tested. The market prices Pyramids FC at 1.57, implying a 63.69% chance, and that's not an exaggeration given the numbers. Ceramica Cleopatra's xG for in their last seven matches with data sits at 0.81 per game, which is a modest return against a side that's scoring 2.6 per game.
I love a dog with a chance, and Ceramica Cleopatra do have a pulse — four wins in five, a decent away record, and a history of scoring against Pyramids FC. But the gap in current form is wide, the home record of the hosts is commanding, and the price of 5.97 for an away win doesn't reflect enough value for me to get excited. The draw at 4 and the under 2.5 at 1.91 don't offer the kind of edge I look for either. When the little puppy's odds are too thin and the big dog's numbers are too strong, the kindest thing I can do is step back and let the match play out.
Key Points:
- Pyramids FC have won their last 5 matches, scoring 13 and conceding 4, and hold a 13W 2D 5L record at home over 20 games.
- Ceramica Cleopatra won 4 of their last 5 but lost the most recent (0–1 to AL Masry on 7 October), and their away record over 20 games is 8W 3D 9L.
- The head-to-head at Pyramids FC's ground within the last 12 months produced a 1–0 Pyramids FC win in February 2026.
- Pyramids FC's xG against in recent matches with data is 0.31 per game, while Ceramica Cleopatra's xG for is 0.81 per game.
- Ceramica Cleopatra beat Pyramids FC 2–1 at their own ground in November 2025, showing they can compete in this fixture.
No Bet.