QPR vs Ipswich Prediction

Right then, let's have a proper look at this Championship clash between QPR and Ipswich. The Rs are sitting pretty in 9th with 18 points, while Ipswich are just behind in 12th on 16 - so there's not much between 'em in the table, but sometimes the numbers tell a different story.

Now, here's where it gets interesting. QPR at home have been decent enough - winning half their games and keeping things tight at the back, only letting in 0.75 goals per game on their own patch. They've had some proper decent results too, like that 2-1 win at Bristol City and smashing Wrexham 3-1 away. Yeah, they had a bad day at Derby (1-0 loss) and that Coventry game was a nightmare (7-1!), but every team has those days, don't they?

Ipswich, on the other hand, have been proper shocking on the road lately. Zero wins in their last three away games, only scoring 0.67 goals per game away from home. They've been banging 'em in at Portman Road - like that 5-0 hammering of Sheffield United - but ask 'em to do it on their travels and they go all shy. Recent away form reads: lost at Preston 1-0, lost at Middlesbrough 2-1. Not exactly filling the opposition with terror, is it?

But here's the killer stat for me - the head-to-head. QPR absolutely love playing Ipswich at home. We're talking a 4-0-1 record historically, that's 80% of games ending in a home win. The Rs just seem to have their number when they're the home side.

Both teams have been struggling for goals recently mind you. QPR's last three games have seen 'em score just once, and Ipswich aren't exactly setting the world alight either. But with QPR's solid home record and Ipswich's travel sickness, I'm fancying the home side here.

The bookies have got Ipswich as slight favourites at 2.07, which seems a bit generous to me. QPR at 3.70 looks like proper value, especially when you consider that home advantage and historical dominance.