Rangers vs Falkirk Prediction

Gers Host Falkirk: Goals On The Cards At Ibrox?

Preview

Right then, let's have a proper look at this Sunday showdown between Rangers and Falkirk. The Gers are sitting pretty in 5th with 21 points, while Falkirk are breathing down their necks in 6th on 19 points - just two points separating these two, so there's a bit more than just pride at stake here.

Now, Rangers' recent form has been a bit of a mixed bag, hasn't it? They've only lost one league game all season, but they've drawn six out of twelve - not exactly setting the heather alight. They've had some decent results though, like that 3-0 hammering of Dundee and a 2-1 win over Livingston. But they've also dropped points against the likes of Dundee United (2-2) and, crucially, drew 1-1 with Falkirk earlier this season.

Falkirk, on the other hand, have been knocking about nicely. They've put three past Dundee United, smashed Kilmarnock 3-1, and even grabbed a win at Motherwell. But here's the thing - they're a bit leaky on their travels, conceding two goals per game away from home. That's the sort of stat that'll keep a manager up at night!

When these two met back in October, it was a 1-1 draw, and historically, Rangers have the wood over Falkirk at home - unbeaten in four home meetings with three wins. But this Falkirk side looks a bit more lively than some of the teams that have rolled up at Ibrox in the past.

Looking at the numbers, Rangers average 1.4 goals at home while Falkirk net 1.25 on the road. But it's at the other end where it gets interesting - Rangers concede 1.2 at home, but Falkirk ship two per game away. Both teams have been finding the net regularly too - 50% of Rangers' recent games see both teams score, while for Falkirk it's a whopping 70%.

The bookies have Rangers as favorites at 1.38, but given their draw-happy form, that looks a bit short for me. The value might be elsewhere in this one.

Match time
Recommended Bet
OVER 2 5
Odds
1.53
+EV
+4.0%
Estimated Chance68%
Stake & Profit
Stake:-Profit:0.00
Outcome
OPEN