Rapid Wien II vs Wacker Innsbruck Prediction

Wacker Innsbruck's Away Dominance Meets Rapid Wien II's Slump

Preview

The form gap between these two sides is stark. Wacker Innsbruck arrive in excellent shape, winning their last two matches (scoring 8 and conceding just 2) and going 3W 2D 0L in their last five. Their away record over 20 games is the standout figure here: 16 wins, 2 draws, 2 losses, with 2.35 goals scored per game and only 0.95 conceded. They've kept 9 clean sheets in those 20 away outings, and their latest 10 across all venues show 6W 2D 2L with 2.1 goals scored per game.

Rapid Wien II, by contrast, are in a 4-game losing run, scoring just 3 and conceding 13 across those defeats. Their home record over 20 games sits at 9W 2D 9L, with 1.85 goals conceded per game and only 1 clean sheet in 20. In their last five matches, they've scored 1 goal per game and conceded 2.8. The red card they received in minute 64 against Austria Vienna (Am) on 20 September adds to the sense of a side in difficulty.

The head-to-head is entirely historical — all four meetings date back to 2020, 2021 and 2022 — so it cannot be treated as current form. That said, Wacker Innsbruck won all four, including both meetings at Rapid Wien II's ground (0–3 and 0–2). The dates confirm these games span 17 months and dilute any reading of current form.

The counter-argument is that two of Wacker Innsbruck's last five wins came in friendlies (5–0 at Kundl and 3–2 at Sudtirol), and in their recent competitive matches they've drawn twice (2–2 at Sturm Graz II and 1–1 at home to Voitsberg). Rapid Wien II do carry a 45% home win rate over 20 games, and the red card in their last outing could be a one-off. Still, the 4-game losing streak and the 13 goals conceded in that span tell a clear story of a side under pressure.

Key Points:

  • Wacker Innsbruck: 16W 2D 2L in 20 away games, 2.35 scored per game, 0.95 conceded per game
  • Rapid Wien II: lost their last 4, scoring 3 and conceding 13
  • Wacker Innsbruck won all 4 historical head-to-head meetings, including both at Rapid Wien II's ground
  • Wacker's last 2 competitive results were draws (2–2, 1–1) before the friendly wins
  • Rapid Wien II's home record: 9W 2D 9L over 20 games, 1.85 conceded per game

With Wacker Innsbruck's away record and recent form pointing firmly in their favour, and Rapid Wien II's 4-game losing streak telling the rest of the story, the value sits with the visitors. My pick: Wacker Innsbruck away win.

Match time
Recommended Bet
AWAY WIN
Odds
1.96
+EV
+7.8%
Estimated Chance55%
Stake & Profit
Stake:10.00•Profit:0.00
Outcome
OPEN